MLB · 2026
Seattle Mariners3rd AL West - .472 pct vTue 22 Sep, 9:40 PM EDT Houston Astros1st AL West - .500 pct
Match resultSeattle 52%Houston 48%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 13 points in the Division race.
Seattle Mariners
Playoffs21%
Division16%
Pennantseason odds2%
Byeseason odds3%
Houston Astros
Playoffs66%
Division60%
Pennantseason odds10%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Byeseason odds20%
Seattle winDivisionSeattle Mariners16%22%▲ +6Houston Astros60%55%▼ -5
Houston winDivisionSeattle Mariners16%11%▼ -5Houston Astros60%69%▲ +9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5HoustonPlayoffs66%63-63.5006MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-12SeattlePlayoffs21%60-67.4722.5