Magic Number.
Premier League · 2026
updated 3 days ago · as of 4 Oct 2026 50 played · 330 to play

Premier League

2026

The race

Chances, and where each club could finish.

TitlePW-D-LGDPTSReleg­ationTop 4Top 5-6
1Man CityTitle60%55-0-0815
Relegation<1%
Top 4>99%
Top 5-6<1%
2ArsenalTitle39%54-0-1412
Relegation<1%
Top 4>99%
Top 5-6<1%
3BrightonTitle<1%53-1-11110
Relegation<1%
Top 435%
Top 5-627%
4BrentfordTitle<1%52-3-069
Relegation<1%
Top 417%
Top 5-623%
5LeedsTitle<1%52-3-049
Relegation2%
Top 44%
Top 5-610%
6LiverpoolTitle1%52-3-039
Relegation<1%
Top 468%
Top 5-619%
7EvertonTitle<1%52-3-039
Relegation1%
Top 47%
Top 5-614%
8Hull CityTitle<1%52-2-128
Relegation34%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-6<1%
9NewcastleTitle<1%52-2-108
Relegation1%
Top 49%
Top 5-616%
10ChelseaTitle<1%52-1-2-27
Relegation<1%
Top 413%
Top 5-620%
11IpswichTitle<1%52-0-3-46
Relegation80%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-6<1%
12Man UnitedTitle<1%51-2-205
Relegation<1%
Top 424%
Top 5-626%
13ForestTitle<1%51-2-2-15
Relegation8%
Top 41%
Top 5-63%
14SunderlandTitle<1%51-1-3-44
Relegation16%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-62%
15Crystal PalaceTitle<1%51-1-3-54
Relegation12%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-62%
16Aston VillaTitle<1%51-1-3-54
Relegation<1%
Top 414%
Top 5-620%
17BournemouthTitle<1%50-3-2-23
Relegation1%
Top 48%
Top 5-615%
18CoventryTitle<1%51-0-4-93
Relegation75%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-6<1%
19FulhamTitle<1%50-2-3-32
Relegation17%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-61%
20TottenhamTitle<1%50-2-3-62
Relegation53%
Top 4<1%
Top 5-6<1%

Games that matter

The next 7 days, and what each result would do to each club - on the race labelled beside it.

Saturday10:00 AM EDTSunderland16% → 12% – 19%RelegationBrighton35% → 29% – 47%Top 4Match resultSUN 32%Draw 28%BHA 40%14th and 3rd in the table.Sunday9:00 AM EDTHull City34% → 23% – 40%RelegationEverton14% → 10% – 17%Top 5-6Match resultHUL 29%Draw 28%EVE 43%8th and 7th in the table.Saturday10:00 AM EDTIpswich80% → 67% – 79%RelegationFulham17% → 11% – 23%RelegationMatch resultIPS 27%Draw 27%FUL 46%11th and 19th in the table.Saturday10:00 AM EDTAston Villa14% → 7% – 16%Top 4Brentford23% → 22% – 34%Top 5-6Match resultAVL 47%Draw 27%BRE 26%16th and 4th in the table.
More games that matter4 more
Saturday12:30 PM EDTMan United26% → 21% – 32%Top 5-6Tottenham53% → 49% – 60%RelegationMatch resultMUN 66%Draw 20%TOT 14%12th and 20th in the table.Sunday9:00 AM EDTCrystal Palace12% → 6% – 14%RelegationForest8% → 3% – 10%RelegationMatch resultCRY 42%Draw 28%NFO 30%15th and 13th in the table.Saturday10:00 AM EDTChelsea20% → 16% – 23%Top 5-6Bournemouth8% → 6% – 13%Top 4Match resultCHE 42%Draw 28%BOU 30%10th and 17th in the table.Saturday7:30 AM EDTArsenal39% → 30% – 42%TitleLeeds10% → 10% – 16%Top 5-6Match resultARS 74%Draw 16%LEE 10%2nd and 5th in the table.

How the race got here

The season behind today's table, told two ways.

The trajectory

Title odds at every published forecast. The six biggest movers are drawn; tap any club to add it.

0255075100Title odds %MCIManchester CityARSArsenalLIVLiverpoolMUNManchester UnitedAVLAston VillaBOUBournemouth7 Aug28 Aug13 Sep4 Oct7 Aug 20268 Aug 202610 Aug 202611 Aug 202619 Aug 202621 Aug 202622 Aug 202623 Aug 202624 Aug 202628 Aug 202629 Aug 202630 Aug 202631 Aug 20264 Sep 20265 Sep 20266 Sep 20267 Sep 202612 Sep 202613 Sep 202614 Sep 202618 Sep 202619 Sep 202620 Sep 202621 Sep 202626 Sep 202628 Sep 20264 Oct 2026

Turning points

The results that changed a race. Each names the race it moved, and links to its game.

22 AUGMan United lose 2-0 at Hull CityTop 4: 49% → 38%.6 SEPArsenal beat Chelsea 2-1Title: 55% → 64%.12 SEPIpswich win 3-2 at Crystal PalaceRelegation: 90% → 80%.19 SEPTottenham lose 3-2 to Aston VillaRelegation: 43% → 52%.20 SEPLiverpool win 1-0 at BournemouthTop 4: 52% → 62%.

The published forecast record begins 7 Aug 2026.