USL Championship · 2026
updated today · as of 20 Aug 2026
242 played · 133 to play
USL Championship
2026USL Championship saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
The Championship race
The chance of winning the Championship, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.
The chance of winning the Championship, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.
Who ends the season with it, before the full table below.
The other 11 clubs share 3% of the Championship between them.
Realistic chance14 of 25 clubs
Biggest gameSaturday 7:00 PM EDTEvery club with at least 1% of the Championship.
Lexington v Las Vegas
The race
Chances by conference, each cut on its own line.
Eastern Conference13 clubs
PlayoffsPW-D-LGDPTSConferenceChampionship
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%2013-5-21944Conference94%
Championship22%
Conference3%
Championship12%
Conference1%
Championship4%
Conference1%
Championship13%
Conference<1%
Championship3%
Conference<1%
Championship2%
Conference<1%
Championship1%
Conference<1%
Championship1%
Playoff line - top 8
9MiamiPlayoffs10%215-7-9-922Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
ConferenceOut
Championship<1%
Western Conference12 clubs
PlayoffsPW-D-LGDPTSConferenceChampionship
1Orange CountyPlayoffs99%209-7-4634Conference17%
Championship8%
Conference69%
Championship17%
Conference3%
Championship2%
Conference1%
Championship2%
Conference6%
Championship6%
Conference2%
Championship4%
Conference<1%
Championship1%
Conference1%
Championship2%
Playoff line - top 8
9Colorado SpringsPlayoffs77%198-4-7328Conference1%
Championship1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Conference<1%
Championship<1%
Games that matter
The next 7 days, and what each result would do to each club - on the race labelled beside it.
Saturday7:00 PM EDTLexington81% → 68% – 91%PlayoffsLas Vegas58% → 52% – 79%PlayoffsMatch resultLEX 49%Draw 25%LV 26%8th and 7th in the West.In progressStarted 10:00 PM EDTPhoenixColorado SpringsSaturday6:30 PM EDTLoudoun15% → 7% – 23%PlayoffsNew Mexico69% → 57% – 74%ConferenceMatch resultLDN 30%Draw 26%NM 44%10th in the East, 2nd in the West.Saturday9:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77% → 70% – 88%PlayoffsEl Paso86% → 85% – 97%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 45%Draw 26%ELP 29%9th and 4th in the West.
More games that matter4 more
Wed 26 Aug9:30 PM EDTNew Mexico69% → 57% – 74%ConferenceLexington81% → 77% – 92%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 56%Draw 23%LEX 21%2nd and 8th in the West.Saturday11:00 PM EDTSacramento95% → 92% – >99%PlayoffsPhoenix23% → 11% – 32%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 53%Draw 24%PHX 23%5th and 11th in the West.Saturday10:00 PM EDTOrange County17% → 9% – 20%ConferenceTulsa87% → 81% – 94%PlayoffsMatch resultOC 46%Draw 26%TUL 28%1st and 6th in the West.Saturday9:00 PM EDTSan Antonio90% → 76% – 93%PlayoffsOakland4% → 1% – 7%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%3rd and 10th in the West.
How the race got here
The season behind today's table, told two ways.
The trajectory
Playoff odds at every published forecast. The six biggest movers are drawn; tap any club to add it.
Show a club
Turning points
The results that changed a race. Each names the race it moved, and links to its game.
18 JULRhode Island beat Hartford 1-0Playoffs: 68% → 80%.22 JULOakland lose 2-0 at LexingtonPlayoffs: 66% → 54%.25 JULLas Vegas win 1-0 at DetroitPlayoffs: 30% → 46%.25 JULMiami lose 3-2 to Tampa BayPlayoffs: 42% → 31%.25 JULColorado Springs beat Charleston 2-1Playoffs: 58% → 70%.
The published forecast record begins 18 Jul 2026.