USL Championship · 2026
2nd by playoff odds25 clubs

Charleston

2nd · 10-3-7 · 33 pts
Playoffs>99%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
7

Win the next 7 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference3%
Championship12%

2nd in the table · 2nd by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 2nd. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Upcoming

Full schedule10 to play

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal91%

Charleston 47+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
2CharlestonHome7Rhode Island

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Louisville · 3 Detroit v 6 Hartford · 4 Pittsburgh v 5 Indy

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 18,275. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay60
2Charleston52
3Detroit48
4Pittsburgh47
5Indy42
6Hartford40
7Rhode Island40
8Louisville39
-Birmingham34
-Loudoun34
Reach the quarterfinals on the road9%

Charleston 42+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
4HartfordHome5Charleston

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Miami · 2 Louisville v 7 Rhode Island · 3 Detroit v 6 Pittsburgh

  1. 87% of this route

  2. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,503. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay67
2Louisville50
3Detroit49
4Hartford46
5Charleston45
6Pittsburgh42
7Rhode Island37
8Miami35
-Indy35
-Birmingham34
Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 2 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Charleston under 39 points