Magic Number - Miami FC 2026

Playoffs10%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

9

Lose the next 9 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHS 67%Draw 19%MFC 14%Win → 17% · Draw → 9% · Loss → 8%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugHartford2Miami±0121% → 21%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Championship<1%

9th in the table · 20th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 10th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHS 67%Draw 19%MFC 14%Win → 17% · Draw → 9% · Loss → 8%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultMFC 30%Draw 26%PIT 44%10% → 5% – 14%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 48%Draw 25%MFC 27%10% → 3% – 13%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultRI 58%Draw 22%MFC 20%10% → 5% – 17%Playoffs

Full schedule9 to play

History

Final · Away15 AugHartford2Miami±0121% → 21%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugLas Vegas1Miami±0032% → 32%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugDetroit2Miami▼ -1236% → 35%Playoffs

All results21 played

Final · Away15 AugHartford2Miami±0121% → 21%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugLas Vegas1Miami±0032% → 32%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugDetroit2Miami▼ -1236% → 35%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulTampa Bay3Miami▼ -12242% → 30%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulColorado Springs2Miami▼ -6048% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home15 JulIndy0Miami2 Final · Home5 JulBirmingham1Miami1 Final · Home24 JunOrange County4Miami2 Final · Away13 JunOakland0Miami0 Final · Away30 MayPittsburgh2Miami0 Final · Home23 MayLouisville3Miami4 Final · Away20 MayDetroit2Miami1 Final · Away7 MayBirmingham0Miami0 Final · Home2 MayBrooklyn2Miami3 Final · Home18 AprPhoenix3Miami0 Final · Away11 AprSan Antonio0Miami0 Final · Home4 AprHartford0Miami0 Final · Home28 MarRhode Island1Miami2 Final · Away25 MarJacksonville2Miami4 Final · Away21 MarLoudoun0Miami0 Final · Away14 MarLouisville4Miami1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 6 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Miami 42+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road10%

Miami 34+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

1Tampa BayHome8Miami

Alongside it: 2 Detroit v 7 Indy · 3 Louisville v 6 Charleston · 4 Pittsburgh v 5 Rhode Island

54% of this route
- above HartfordHartford under 39 points (92%)
46% of this route
- below HartfordHartford under 47 points (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,135. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	63
2	Detroit	51
3	Louisville	48
4	Pittsburgh	47
5	Rhode Island	45
6	Charleston	44
7	Indy	41
8	Miami	37
-	Hartford	35
-	Loudoun	31

Miss the postseason90%

Miami under 36 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 17,907. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	61
2	Detroit	49
3	Charleston	48
4	Louisville	48
5	Pittsburgh	46
6	Rhode Island	43
7	Indy	40
8	Brooklyn	37
-	Hartford	37
-	Birmingham	35
-	Miami	31