Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
14th by playoff odds25 clubs

Hartford

8th · 5-9-5 · 24 pts
Playoffs83%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
10

Win the next 10 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 55%Draw 23%BHM 22%Win → 84% · Draw → 74% · Loss → 66%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home15 AugMiami1Hartford±0273% → 73%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Championship1%

8th in the table · 14th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 8th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 55%Draw 23%BHM 22%Win → 84% · Draw → 74% · Loss → 66%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wed 2 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHS 56%Draw 23%HFD 21%83% → 75% – 91%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 49%Draw 25%HFD 26%83% → 75% – 90%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 34%Draw 26%TBR 40%83% → 73% – 90%Playoffs
Full schedule11 to play
Sat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 55%Draw 23%BHM 22%83% → 66% – 84%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHS 56%Draw 23%HFD 21%83% → 75% – 91%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 49%Draw 25%HFD 26%83% → 75% – 90%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 34%Draw 26%TBR 40%83% → 73% – 90%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTJacksonville<1%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 60%Draw 22%JAX 18%83% → 66% – 86%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away10:30 PM EDTLas Vegas58%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 41%Draw 26%HFD 33%83% → 72% – 89%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 32%Draw 26%LOU 42%83% → 74% – 90%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 35%Draw 27%CHS 38%83% → 72% – 90%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 49%Draw 25%HFD 26%83% → 78% – 92%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 54%Draw 24%BKN 22%83% → 71% – 90%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 44%Draw 26%RI 30%83% → 77% – 94%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugMiami1Hartford±0273% → 73%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugIndy1Hartford±0173% → 73%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugLoudoun2Hartford±0081% → 81%Playoffs
All results19 played
Final · Home15 AugMiami1Hartford±0273% → 73%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugIndy1Hartford±0173% → 73%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugLoudoun2Hartford±0081% → 81%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulPhoenix0Hartford▼ -5079% → 74%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 JulRhode Island1Hartford▼ -10085% → 75%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 JulOrange County2Hartford2Final · Away4 JulLouisville1Hartford0Final · Home20 JunPittsburgh0Hartford0Final · Away13 JunTampa Bay0Hartford1Final · Home30 MayNew Mexico0Hartford0Final · Away22 MayTulsa2Hartford0Final · Home9 MayDetroit1Hartford2Final · Home18 AprLoudoun0Hartford0Final · Home11 AprEl Paso4Hartford0Final · Away4 AprMiami0Hartford0Final · Home28 MarIndy2Hartford2Final · Away21 MarBrooklyn1Hartford2Final · Away11 MarBirmingham0Hartford0Final · Away7 MarJacksonville0Hartford3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal7%

Hartford 44+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
3HartfordHome6Pittsburgh

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Indy · 2 Charleston v 7 Rhode Island · 4 Louisville v 5 Detroit

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,342. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay59
2Charleston53
3Hartford47
4Louisville47
5Detroit46
6Pittsburgh43
7Rhode Island41
8Indy38
-Birmingham35
-Brooklyn29
Reach the quarterfinals on the road76%

Hartford 36+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
2Rhode IslandHome7Hartford

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Indy · 3 Detroit v 6 Pittsburgh · 4 Charleston v 5 Louisville

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,290. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay66
2Rhode Island50
3Detroit48
4Charleston46
5Louisville45
6Pittsburgh43
7Hartford40
8Indy36
-Birmingham33
-Loudoun32
Miss the postseason17%