USL Championship · 2026
8th by playoff odds25 clubs

Hartford

4th · 9-12-5 · 39 pts
Playoffs>99%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
2

Win the next 2 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Saturday.

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut
Championship4%

4th in the table · 8th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 4th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

History

All results26 played

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-10-05

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal53%

Hartford 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
4HartfordHome5Pittsburgh

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Miami · 2 Detroit v 7 Louisville · 3 Charleston v 6 Rhode Island

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 10,630. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay57
2Detroit51
3Charleston50
4Hartford47
5Pittsburgh43
6Rhode Island43
7Louisville43
8Miami40
-Indy38
-Loudoun30
Reach the quarterfinals on the road47%
Conference Quarterfinals
4Rhode IslandHome5Hartford

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Miami · 2 Charleston v 7 Pittsburgh · 3 Detroit v 6 Louisville

  1. 42% of this route

  2. 30% of this route

  3. 28% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,937. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Tampa Bay61
2Charleston56
3Detroit51
4Rhode Island45
5Hartford44
6Louisville42
7Pittsburgh40
8Miami39
-Indy34
-Birmingham29
Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 22 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Hartford under 41 points