Tampa Bay

1st · 13-5-2 · 44 pts

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Win the next 4 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 29 Aug.

Next upSaturday · Away7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%Win → 99% · Draw → 98% · Loss → 96%Conference

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugRhode Island0Tampa Bay±02>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference94%

Championship22%

1st in the table · 1st by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 1st. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%Win → 99% · Draw → 98% · Loss → 96%Conference

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away5:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%94% → 96% – 99%Conference Sat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 66%Draw 19%BKN 15%94% → 91% – 98%Conference Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 34%Draw 26%TBR 40%94% → 93% – 99%Conference

Full schedule10 to play

Saturday · Away7:00 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%94% → 96% – 99%Conference Sat 29 Aug · Away5:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%94% → 96% – 99%Conference Sat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 66%Draw 19%BKN 15%94% → 91% – 98%Conference Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 34%Draw 26%TBR 40%94% → 93% – 99%Conference Sat 19 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 66%Draw 19%BHM 15%94% → 90% – 98%Conference Sat 26 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTSan Antonio90%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 35%Draw 27%TBR 38%94% → 93% – 98%Conference Sat 3 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 69%Draw 18%MFC 13%94% → 92% – 98%Conference Sat 10 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 31%Draw 26%TBR 43%94% → 92% – 98%Conference Sat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 53%Draw 24%DET 23%94% → 90% – 97%Conference Sat 24 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTJacksonville<1%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 71%Draw 17%JAX 12%94% → 84% – 97%Conference

History

Final · Home15 AugRhode Island0Tampa Bay±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugOrange County0Tampa Bay±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugLouisville4Tampa Bay±05>99% → >99%Playoffs

All results20 played

Final · Home15 AugRhode Island0Tampa Bay±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugOrange County0Tampa Bay±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugLouisville4Tampa Bay±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulMiami2Tampa Bay±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away18 JulLoudoun1Tampa Bay±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home4 JulLexington4Tampa Bay1 Final · Away20 JunBrooklyn0Tampa Bay2 Final · Home13 JunHartford1Tampa Bay0 Final · Home10 JunCharleston2Tampa Bay2 Final · Away30 MayLouisville0Tampa Bay2 Final · Home23 MayPhoenix0Tampa Bay3 Final · Away20 MayNew Mexico0Tampa Bay1 Final · Away9 MayRhode Island1Tampa Bay1 Final · Home2 MayIndy0Tampa Bay1 Final · Away18 AprCharleston1Tampa Bay1 Final · Home11 AprOakland2Tampa Bay2 Final · Away4 AprJacksonville0Tampa Bay1 Final · Home28 MarLoudoun1Tampa Bay3 Final · Home21 MarPittsburgh0Tampa Bay3 Final · Away7 MarBirmingham0Tampa Bay1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal>99%

Tampa Bay 57+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

1Tampa BayHome8Loudoun

Alongside it: 2 Detroit v 7 Rhode Island · 3 Charleston v 6 Louisville · 4 Indy v 5 Pittsburgh

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 19,999. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	62
2	Detroit	55
3	Charleston	45
4	Indy	44
5	Pittsburgh	42
6	Louisville	42
7	Rhode Island	37
8	Loudoun	35
-	Miami	34
-	Brooklyn	33

Reach the quarterfinals on the road<1%

A possible long-shot route: 1 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Tampa Bay 50+ points

Miss the postseasonNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.