Magic Number - Detroit City 2026

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

8

Win the next 8 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home · Their biggest game left7:00 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%Win → 2% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Conference

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugLoudoun0Detroit±00>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference1%

Championship4%

3rd in the table · 5th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 3rd. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home · Their biggest game left7:00 PM EDTDetroit>99%PlayoffsTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%Win → 2% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Conference

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away8:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 56%Draw 23%DET 21%1% → <1% – 2%Conference Sat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 49%Draw 25%HFD 26%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 12 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 48%Draw 25%DET 27%1% → <1% – 2%Conference

Full schedule11 to play

Saturday · Home7:00 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 37%Draw 27%TBR 36%1% → 0% – 2%Conference Sat 29 Aug · Away8:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 56%Draw 23%DET 21%1% → <1% – 2%Conference Sat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 49%Draw 25%HFD 26%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 12 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 48%Draw 25%DET 27%1% → <1% – 2%Conference Sat 19 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 45%Draw 26%PIT 29%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 26 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 49%Draw 25%COS 26%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Wed 30 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 33%Draw 26%DET 41%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 3 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 59%Draw 22%BHM 19%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 10 Oct · Home7:00 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 48%Draw 25%RI 27%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 17 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 53%Draw 24%DET 23%1% → <1% – 1%Conference Sat 24 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 56%Draw 23%DET 21%1% → 0% – <1%Conference

History

Final · Home15 AugLoudoun0Detroit±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugTulsa0Detroit±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugMiami2Detroit±0299% → 99%Playoffs

All results19 played

Final · Home15 AugLoudoun0Detroit±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugTulsa0Detroit±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugMiami2Detroit±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulLas Vegas1Detroit±0099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home18 JulIndy0Detroit±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away2 JulBirmingham1Detroit2 Final · Away13 JunJacksonville2Detroit6 Final · Home10 JunEl Paso1Detroit1 Final · Away30 MayCharleston2Detroit0 Final · Away23 MayLoudoun0Detroit0 Final · Home20 MayMiami1Detroit2 Final · Away9 MayHartford2Detroit1 Final · Home2 MayLouisville1Detroit2 Final · Away18 AprPittsburgh2Detroit1 Final · Home11 AprJacksonville0Detroit1 Final · Away4 AprRhode Island0Detroit0 Final · Home28 MarCharleston0Detroit1 Final · Away21 MarIndy2Detroit1 Final · Home14 MarBrooklyn0Detroit3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal63%

Detroit 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

2DetroitHome7Hartford

Alongside it: 1 Tampa Bay v 8 Indy · 3 Charleston v 6 Rhode Island · 4 Louisville v 5 Pittsburgh

65% of this route
- above LouisvilleLouisville under 51 points (92%)
35% of this route
- below LouisvilleLouisville under 57 points (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,208. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	68
2	Detroit	51
3	Charleston	51
4	Louisville	46
5	Pittsburgh	44
6	Rhode Island	41
7	Hartford	37
8	Indy	36
-	Miami	32
-	Loudoun	30

Reach the quarterfinals on the road37%

Detroit 40+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

1Tampa BayHome8Detroit

Alongside it: 2 Charleston v 7 Hartford · 3 Louisville v 6 Rhode Island · 4 Pittsburgh v 5 Indy

77% of this route
- below PittsburghPittsburgh under 53 points (94%)
23% of this route
- above PittsburghPittsburgh 1+ point back (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,694. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	65
2	Charleston	52
3	Louisville	50
4	Pittsburgh	47
5	Indy	46
6	Rhode Island	46
7	Hartford	44
8	Detroit	43
-	Loudoun	36
-	Brooklyn	32

Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 53 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Detroit under 40 points