USL Championship · 2026

New Mexico United 2-3Final Sat 26 Sep, 9:00 PM EDT Sacramento Republic

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If New Mexico had wonConferenceNew Mexico United47%42%▼ -5Sacramento Republic2%<1%▼ -2PlayoffsSacramento Republic94%88%▼ -6
If it had been a drawConferenceNew Mexico United47%29%▼ -18Sacramento Republic2%<1%▼ -2PlayoffsSacramento Republic94%91%▼ -3
What happenedSacramento winConferenceNew Mexico United47%24%▼ -23Sacramento Republic2%4%▲ +2PlayoffsSacramento Republic94%96%▲ +2

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

New Mexico United
Conference47%29%▼ -18
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Sacramento Republic
Conference2%6%▲ +4
Playoffs94%99%▲ +5

Today: ConferenceNew Mexico 2nd at 35%; Sacramento 3rd at 12%.