Magic Number - El Paso Locomotive 2026

Playoffs86%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

10

Win the next 10 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away9:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 45%Draw 26%ELP 29%Win → 97% · Draw → 91% · Loss → 85%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugSan Antonio0El Paso±0372% → 72%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference1%

Championship2%

4th in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 7th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away9:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 45%Draw 26%ELP 29%Win → 97% · Draw → 91% · Loss → 85%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wed 26 Aug · Home9:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 42%Draw 26%PIT 32%86% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home9:00 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 52%Draw 24%LDN 24%86% → 79% – 94%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 59%Draw 22%ELP 19%86% → 86% – 97%Playoffs

Full schedule10 to play

Saturday · Away9:00 PM EDTColorado Springs77%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 45%Draw 26%ELP 29%86% → 85% – 97%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Home9:00 PM EDTPittsburgh98%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 42%Draw 26%PIT 32%86% → 83% – 95%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home9:00 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 52%Draw 24%LDN 24%86% → 79% – 94%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLOU 59%Draw 22%ELP 19%86% → 86% – 97%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTPhoenix23%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 43%Draw 26%ELP 31%86% → 80% – 95%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Home9:00 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 41%Draw 26%TUL 33%86% → 80% – 95%Playoffs Sat 3 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultLEX 45%Draw 26%ELP 29%86% → 83% – 97%Playoffs Sat 10 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 40%Draw 26%OC 34%86% → 83% – 96%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home9:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 40%Draw 26%SAC 34%86% → 81% – 96%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home8:00 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultELP 35%Draw 27%NM 38%86% → 82% – 95%Playoffs

History

Final · Away15 AugSan Antonio0El Paso±0372% → 72%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugOakland0El Paso▼ -2159% → 57%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugMonterey Bay0El Paso±0147% → 47%Playoffs

All results20 played

Final · Away15 AugSan Antonio0El Paso±0372% → 72%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugOakland0El Paso▼ -2159% → 57%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugMonterey Bay0El Paso±0147% → 47%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugOrange County2El Paso±0053% → 53%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulJacksonville0El Paso▼ -14253% → 39%Playoffs Final · Away18 JulTulsa1El Paso▼ -10063% → 53%Playoffs Final · Away4 JulLas Vegas1El Paso2 Final · Away20 JunMonterey Bay1El Paso0 Final · Home13 JunPhoenix1El Paso1 Final · Away10 JunDetroit1El Paso1 Final · Home30 MayLexington4El Paso1 Final · Away9 MayOakland2El Paso1 Final · Away6 MayNew Mexico2El Paso2 Final · Home29 AprTulsa4El Paso1 Final · Home18 AprSan Antonio3El Paso2 Final · Away11 AprHartford0El Paso4 Final · Home4 AprLas Vegas2El Paso3 Final · Away28 MarSacramento1El Paso2 Final · Away14 MarMonterey Bay0El Paso3 Final · Home7 MarColorado Springs2El Paso2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal29%

El Paso 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

3El PasoHome6Tulsa

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Lexington · 2 Orange County v 7 Colorado Springs · 4 Sacramento v 5 San Antonio

86% of this route
- above San AntonioSan Antonio 1+ point back (94%)
14% of this route
- below San AntonioSan Antonio under 55 points (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,996. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	59
2	Orange County	55
3	El Paso	49
4	Sacramento	47
5	San Antonio	44
6	Tulsa	44
7	Colorado Springs	41
8	Lexington	40
-	Las Vegas	36
-	Phoenix	32

Reach the quarterfinals on the road57%

El Paso 40+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

3SacramentoHome6El Paso

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Las Vegas · 2 Orange County v 7 Tulsa · 4 Lexington v 5 San Antonio

55% of this route
- below SacramentoSacramento under 54 points (91%)
- below San AntonioSan Antonio under 53 points (93%)
28% of this route
- below SacramentoSacramento under 55 points (94%)
- above San AntonioSan Antonio under 45 points (92%)
17% of this route
- above SacramentoSacramento under 46 points (96%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 6,230. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	53
2	Orange County	51
3	Sacramento	49
4	Lexington	48
5	San Antonio	47
6	El Paso	43
7	Tulsa	43
8	Las Vegas	43
-	Colorado Springs	42
-	Phoenix	36

Miss the postseason14%

El Paso under 42 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,821. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Sacramento	54
2	New Mexico	51
3	Tulsa	48
4	San Antonio	48
5	Orange County	45
6	Colorado Springs	44
7	Las Vegas	42
8	Lexington	41
-	El Paso	39
-	Phoenix	39