Magic Number - Oakland Roots 2026

Playoffs8%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 24 Oct.

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

2

Lose the next 2 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Sat 17 Oct.

Next upSaturday · Home10:00 PM EDTOakland8%PlayoffsSan Antonio75%PlayoffsMatch resultOAK 42%Draw 26%SA 32%Win → 12% · Draw → 1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away3 OctColorado Springs0Oakland±007% → 7%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut

Championship<1%

10th in the table · 20th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 10th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

All results27 played

Final · Away3 OctColorado Springs0Oakland±007% → 7%Playoffs Final · Home26 SepPhoenix0Oakland▲ +235% → 7%Playoffs Final · Away20 SepIndy0Oakland▲ +312% → 5%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepLexington4Oakland▼ -819% → 1%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugOrange County1Oakland▼ -4113% → 9%Playoffs Final · Away22 AugSan Antonio0Oakland±014% → 4%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugMonterey Bay1Oakland±019% → 9%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugEl Paso1Oakland▼ -1016% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugLas Vegas0Oakland▲ +1017% → 18%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugPittsburgh1Oakland▼ -2030% → 28%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulSacramento3Oakland▼ -23154% → 31%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulLexington2Oakland▼ -11066% → 55%Playoffs Final · Away4 JulNew Mexico2Oakland1 Final · Away20 JunPhoenix3Oakland4 Final · Home17 JunBirmingham1Oakland1 Final · Home13 JunMiami0Oakland0 Final · Home30 MayColorado Springs1Oakland0 Final · Away23 MayOrange County3Oakland2 Final · Home9 MayEl Paso1Oakland2 Final · Away2 MayLoudoun2Oakland2 Final · Home22 AprLas Vegas2Oakland4 Final · Home18 AprTulsa1Oakland1 Final · Away11 AprTampa Bay2Oakland2 Final · Home28 MarOrange County1Oakland0 Final · Away21 MarPhoenix2Oakland2 Final · Home14 MarNew Mexico1Oakland2 Final · Away7 MarMonterey Bay0Oakland1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the road8%

Oakland 40+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

2New MexicoHome7Oakland

Alongside it: 1 El Paso v 8 Colorado Springs · 3 Lexington v 6 Orange County · 4 Sacramento v 5 Tulsa

73% of this route
- above San AntonioSan Antonio out of the postseason (91%) · San Antonio under 42 points (95%)
27% of this route
- below San AntonioSan Antonio under 45 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,206. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	El Paso	51
2	New Mexico	50
3	Lexington	49
4	Sacramento	49
5	Tulsa	46
6	Orange County	43
7	Oakland	41
8	Colorado Springs	41
-	San Antonio	40
-	Las Vegas	39

Miss the postseason92%

Oakland under 41 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 18,349. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	53
2	El Paso	51
3	Sacramento	50
4	Orange County	46
5	Colorado Springs	46
6	Lexington	45
7	Tulsa	43
8	San Antonio	42
-	Phoenix	39
-	Oakland	37

Oakland

Chances

Schedule

Next up

Upcoming

History

Season so far

Paths