Magic Number - Oakland Roots 2026

Playoffs4%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

8

Lose the next 8 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away9:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsSan Antonio90%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%Win → 7% · Draw → 3% · Loss → 1%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home15 AugMonterey Bay1Oakland±019% → 9%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Championship<1%

10th in the table · 23th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 11th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away9:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsSan Antonio90%PlayoffsMatch resultSA 56%Draw 23%OAK 21%Win → 7% · Draw → 3% · Loss → 1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home8:00 PM EDTOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultOAK 31%Draw 26%OC 43%4% → 1% – 7%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Home10:00 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultOAK 36%Draw 27%LEX 37%4% → 1% – 5%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Away5:00 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 51%Draw 25%OAK 24%4% → 1% – 5%Playoffs

Full schedule9 to play

History

Final · Home15 AugMonterey Bay1Oakland±019% → 9%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugEl Paso1Oakland▼ -1016% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugLas Vegas0Oakland▲ +1017% → 18%Playoffs

All results21 played

Final · Home15 AugMonterey Bay1Oakland±019% → 9%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugEl Paso1Oakland▼ -1016% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugLas Vegas0Oakland▲ +1017% → 18%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugPittsburgh1Oakland▼ -2030% → 28%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulSacramento3Oakland▼ -23154% → 31%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulLexington2Oakland▼ -11066% → 55%Playoffs Final · Away4 JulNew Mexico2Oakland1 Final · Away20 JunPhoenix3Oakland4 Final · Home17 JunBirmingham1Oakland1 Final · Home13 JunMiami0Oakland0 Final · Home30 MayColorado Springs1Oakland0 Final · Away23 MayOrange County3Oakland2 Final · Home9 MayEl Paso1Oakland2 Final · Away2 MayLoudoun2Oakland2 Final · Home22 AprLas Vegas2Oakland4 Final · Home18 AprTulsa1Oakland1 Final · Away11 AprTampa Bay2Oakland2 Final · Home28 MarOrange County1Oakland0 Final · Away21 MarPhoenix2Oakland2 Final · Home14 MarNew Mexico1Oakland2 Final · Away7 MarMonterey Bay0Oakland1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 20 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Oakland 43+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road4%

Oakland 38+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

2San AntonioHome7Oakland

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Colorado Springs · 3 El Paso v 6 Tulsa · 4 Orange County v 5 Sacramento

63% of this route
- above Las VegasLas Vegas under 42 points (93%)
37% of this route
- below Las VegasLas Vegas under 49 points (90%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 510. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	53
2	San Antonio	49
3	El Paso	47
4	Orange County	45
5	Sacramento	45
6	Tulsa	41
7	Oakland	40
8	Colorado Springs	40
-	Lexington	39
-	Las Vegas	38
-	Phoenix	36

Miss the postseason96%

Oakland under 38 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 19,170. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	New Mexico	53
2	Sacramento	53
3	Orange County	50
4	Colorado Springs	45
5	El Paso	45
6	Lexington	42
7	San Antonio	41
8	Tulsa	39
-	Phoenix	39
-	Las Vegas	37
-	Oakland	32