Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
18th by playoff odds25 clubs

Phoenix

11th · 5-7-7 · 22 pts
Playoffs23%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
9

Lose the next 9 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressHome · Their biggest game leftStarted 10:00 PM EDTPhoenixColorado Springs
Last resultFinal · Away8 AugLexington1Phoenix±0043% → 43%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Championship<1%

11th in the table · 18th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line12th

Most likely 10th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressHome · Their biggest game leftStarted 10:00 PM EDTPhoenixColorado Springs

Upcoming

Saturday · Away11:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 53%Draw 24%PHX 23%23% → 11% – 32%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:30 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 45%Draw 26%IND 29%23% → 10% – 27%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTMonterey Bay<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMB 32%Draw 26%PHX 42%23% → 11% – 29%Playoffs
Full schedule11 to play
In progressHomeStarted 10:00 PM EDTColorado SpringsSaturday · Away11:00 PM EDTSacramento95%PlayoffsMatch resultSAC 53%Draw 24%PHX 23%23% → 11% – 32%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:30 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 45%Draw 26%IND 29%23% → 10% – 27%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTMonterey Bay<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMB 32%Draw 26%PHX 42%23% → 11% – 29%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home10:00 PM EDTTulsa87%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 38%Draw 27%TUL 35%23% → 9% – 28%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home10:00 PM EDTEl Paso86%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 43%Draw 26%ELP 31%23% → 9% – 28%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away10:00 PM EDTOakland4%PlayoffsMatch resultOAK 38%Draw 27%PHX 35%23% → 10% – 27%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away6:00 PM EDTNew Mexico>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNM 58%Draw 22%PHX 20%23% → 13% – 32%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home10:00 PM EDTLas Vegas58%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 46%Draw 26%LV 28%23% → 8% – 27%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away10:00 PM EDTOrange County99%PlayoffsMatch resultOC 53%Draw 24%PHX 23%23% → 12% – 30%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home10:00 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultPHX 43%Draw 26%LEX 31%23% → 8% – 23%Playoffs

History

Final · Away8 AugLexington1Phoenix±0043% → 43%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugLas Vegas1Phoenix▼ -3143% → 40%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulHartford0Phoenix▼ -18057% → 39%Playoffs
All results19 played
Final · Away8 AugLexington1Phoenix±0043% → 43%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugLas Vegas1Phoenix▼ -3143% → 40%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulHartford0Phoenix▼ -18057% → 39%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulMonterey Bay2Phoenix▲ +6353% → 59%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 JulColorado Springs3Phoenix1Final · Home20 JunOakland4Phoenix3Final · Away13 JunEl Paso1Phoenix1Final · Home10 JunLouisville2Phoenix0Final · Home30 MaySacramento0Phoenix2Final · Away23 MayTampa Bay3Phoenix0Final · Home9 MaySan Antonio1Phoenix1Final · Away2 MayPittsburgh0Phoenix1Final · Away18 AprMiami0Phoenix3Final · Home11 AprNew Mexico0Phoenix3Final · Away4 AprSacramento2Phoenix0Final · Away28 MarTulsa1Phoenix1Final · Home21 MarOakland2Phoenix2Final · Home14 MarOrange County1Phoenix1Final · Away7 MarSan Antonio2Phoenix1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal2%

Phoenix 45+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
4PhoenixHome5Sacramento

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Lexington · 2 Orange County v 7 San Antonio · 3 Colorado Springs v 6 El Paso

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 372. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1New Mexico51
2Orange County49
3Colorado Springs49
4Phoenix47
5Sacramento46
6El Paso43
7San Antonio43
8Lexington42
-Las Vegas42
-Tulsa41
Reach the quarterfinals on the road21%

Phoenix 39+ points

Conference Quarterfinals
2TulsaHome7Phoenix

Alongside it: 1 New Mexico v 8 Colorado Springs · 3 Lexington v 6 Orange County · 4 Sacramento v 5 San Antonio

  1. 61% of this route

    • above Las VegasLas Vegas out of the postseason (>99%) · Las Vegas under 42 points (95%)

  2. 25% of this route

  3. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,550. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1New Mexico57
2Tulsa50
3Lexington46
4Sacramento46
5San Antonio44
6Orange County42
7Phoenix42
8Colorado Springs42
-El Paso41
-Las Vegas38
Miss the postseason77%