USL Championship · 2026

New Mexico United 2-1Final Sun 4 Oct, 6:00 PM EDT Phoenix Rising

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedNew Mexico winPlayoffsPhoenix Rising17%9%▼ -8ConferenceNew Mexico United24%28%▲ +4Phoenix RisingOut
If it had been a drawPlayoffsPhoenix Rising17%16%▼ -1ConferenceNew Mexico United24%11%▼ -13Phoenix RisingOut
If Phoenix had wonPlayoffsPhoenix Rising17%36%▲ +19ConferenceNew Mexico United24%7%▼ -17Phoenix RisingOut

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

New Mexico United
Playoffs>99%Clinched±0
Conference24%35%▲ +11
Phoenix Rising
Playoffs17%9%▼ -8
Conference<1%Out±0

Today: PlayoffsNew Mexico 2nd, clinched; Phoenix 11th at 9%.