MLB · 2026
New York Mets5th NL East - .453 pct vSun 30 Aug, 3:10 PM EDT Houston Astros1st AL West - .500 pct
Match resultMets 51%Houston 49%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 9 points in the Playoffs race.
Houston Astros
Playoffs66%
Division60%
Pennantseason odds10%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Byeseason odds20%
Mets winPlayoffsHouston Astros66%66%±0
Houston winPlayoffsHouston Astros66%75%▲ +9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.55MetsDivision<1%58-70.45316.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5HoustonPlayoffs66%63-63.5006MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.523113MetsPlayoffs<1%58-70.45310