MLB · 2026

Houston Astros 2-5Final Wed 16 Sep, 8:10 PM EDT Kansas City Royals

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If Houston had wonPlayoffsHouston Astros83%80%▼ -3DivisionHouston Astros78%70%▼ -8Kansas City RoyalsOut
What happenedKansas City winPlayoffsHouston Astros83%63%▼ -20DivisionHouston Astros78%54%▼ -24Kansas City RoyalsOut

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Houston Astros
Playoffs83%67%▼ -16
Division78%61%▼ -17
Kansas City Royals
Division<1%Out±0

Today: PlayoffsHouston 1st at 77%; Kansas City 5th, out.