MLB · 2026

Houston Astros 6-2Final Thu 17 Sep, 7:15 PM EDT Kansas City Royals

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedHouston winPlayoffsHouston Astros67%55%▼ -12DivisionHouston Astros61%48%▼ -13Kansas City RoyalsOut
If Kansas City had wonPlayoffsHouston Astros67%37%▼ -30DivisionHouston Astros61%33%▼ -28Kansas City RoyalsOut

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Houston Astros
Playoffs67%81%▲ +14
Division61%77%▲ +16
Kansas City Royals
Playoffs<1%Out±0
Division<1%Out±0

Today: PlayoffsHouston 1st at 77%; Kansas City 5th, out.