Magic Number.
MLB · 2026
29th by playoff odds30 clubs

Athletics

5th · 49-78
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
19

Lose the next 19 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Thu 3 Sep.

Next upTomorrow · Away2:10 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugKansas City9Athletics±07<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%
Bye<1%
Pennant<1%
World Series<1%

5th in the table · 29th by playoff odds.

AL West finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 5th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 15th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Tomorrow · Away2:10 PM EDTAthletics<1%PlayoffsKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Friday · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away2:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Full schedule35 to play
Tomorrow · Away2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 59%ATH 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFriday · Away8:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away2:10 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 65%ATH 35%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMonday · Home9:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 45%MIN 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTuesday · Home9:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 45%MIN 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 26 Aug · Home9:05 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 45%MIN 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Home9:40 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%BAL 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:05 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%BAL 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 30 Aug · Home4:05 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%BAL 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 31 Aug · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away2:35 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 3 Sep · Away9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 63%ATH 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Home10:05 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 41%TOR 59%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 41%TOR 59%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home3:05 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 41%TOR 59%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%SEA 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%SEA 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%SEA 56%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 69%ATH 31%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 69%ATH 31%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 17 Sep · Away1:10 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 69%ATH 31%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away6:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 62%ATH 38%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 52%LAA 48%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 52%LAA 48%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 42%HOU 58%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 42%HOU 58%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 42%HOU 58%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home3:05 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 42%HOU 58%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugKansas City9Athletics±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 AugKansas City4Athletics±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away17 AugKansas City9Athletics±05<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results127 played
Final · Away19 AugKansas City9Athletics±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 AugKansas City4Athletics±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away17 AugKansas City9Athletics±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugTexas2Athletics±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugTexas5Athletics±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 AugTexas3Athletics±08<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 AugTampa Bay8Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home11 AugTampa Bay12Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home10 AugTampa Bay10Athletics±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugBoston3Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugBoston3Athletics±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away7 AugBoston13Athletics±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away6 AugCincinnati6Athletics±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 AugCincinnati3Athletics±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 AugCincinnati5Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 AugDetroit11Athletics±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugDetroit8Athletics±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulDetroit13Athletics±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home30 JulBoston5Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulBoston4Athletics±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 JulBoston3Athletics±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home27 JulBoston4Athletics±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 JulMinnesota11Athletics±08<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulMinnesota2Athletics±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 JulMinnesota0Athletics±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulArizona15Athletics±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 JulArizona6Athletics▼ -151% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 JulArizona2Athletics5Final · Home19 JulWashington5Athletics2Final · Home18 JulWashington1Athletics15Final · Home17 JulWashington23Athletics4Final · Away12 JulWhite Sox9Athletics1Final · Away11 JulWhite Sox1Athletics0Final · Away10 JulWhite Sox14Athletics1Final · Away9 JulDetroit4Athletics1Final · Away8 JulDetroit6Athletics1Final · Away7 JulDetroit6Athletics2Final · Home5 JulMiami9Athletics8Final · Home4 JulMiami7Athletics2Final · Home3 JulMiami12Athletics5Final · Home1 JulDodgers1Athletics7Final · Home30 JunDodgers9Athletics3Final · Home29 JunDodgers9Athletics4Final · Away28 JunAngels4Athletics1Final · Away27 JunAngels5Athletics2Final · Away26 JunAngels3Athletics9Final · Away25 JunSan Francisco6Athletics9Final · Away24 JunSan Francisco2Athletics1Final · Away23 JunSan Francisco3Athletics1Final · Home21 JunAngels9Athletics7Final · Home20 JunAngels7Athletics0Final · Home19 JunAngels11Athletics12Final · Home18 JunAngels0Athletics5Final · Home17 JunPittsburgh12Athletics4Final · Home16 JunPittsburgh6Athletics5Final · Home15 JunPittsburgh2Athletics11Final · Home14 JunColorado23Athletics9Final · Home13 JunColorado5Athletics7Final · Home12 JunColorado4Athletics6Final · Home10 JunMilwaukee3Athletics4Final · Home9 JunMilwaukee5Athletics7Final · Home8 JunMilwaukee15Athletics14Final · Away7 JunHouston0Athletics5Final · Away6 JunHouston13Athletics2Final · Away5 JunHouston5Athletics1Final · Away4 JunCubs7Athletics6Final · Away3 JunCubs4Athletics5Final · Away2 JunCubs1Athletics2Final · Home31 MayYankees13Athletics8Final · Home30 MayYankees4Athletics6Final · Home29 MayYankees8Athletics2Final · Home27 MaySeattle9Athletics1Final · Home26 MaySeattle4Athletics1Final · Home25 MaySeattle9Athletics2Final · Away24 MaySan Diego2Athletics5Final · Away23 MaySan Diego2Athletics0Final · Away22 MaySan Diego7Athletics3Final · Away21 MayAngels2Athletics3Final · Away20 MayAngels5Athletics6Final · Away19 MayAngels6Athletics14Final · Away18 MayAngels2Athletics1Final · Home17 MaySan Francisco10Athletics1Final · Home16 MaySan Francisco6Athletics4Final · Home15 MaySan Francisco2Athletics5Final · Home14 MaySt. Louis5Athletics4Final · Home13 MaySt. Louis2Athletics6Final · Home12 MaySt. Louis6Athletics4Final · Away10 MayBaltimore2Athletics1Final · Away9 MayBaltimore2Athletics6Final · Away8 MayBaltimore3Athletics4Final · Away7 MayPhiladelphia1Athletics12Final · Away6 MayPhiladelphia6Athletics3Final · Away5 MayPhiladelphia9Athletics1Final · Home3 MayCleveland1Athletics7Final · Home2 MayCleveland14Athletics6Final · Home1 MayCleveland8Athletics5Final · Home30 AprKansas City3Athletics6Final · Home29 AprKansas City2Athletics5Final · Home28 AprKansas City4Athletics1Final · Away26 AprTexas1Athletics2Final · Away25 AprTexas4Athletics3Final · Away24 AprTexas1Athletics8Final · Away22 AprSeattle5Athletics4Final · Away21 AprSeattle2Athletics5Final · Away20 AprSeattle4Athletics6Final · Home19 AprWhite Sox7Athletics4Final · Home18 AprWhite Sox6Athletics7Final · Home17 AprWhite Sox9Athletics2Final · Home16 AprTexas9Athletics6Final · Home15 AprTexas5Athletics6Final · Home14 AprTexas1Athletics2Final · Home13 AprTexas8Athletics1Final · Away12 AprMets0Athletics1Final · Away11 AprMets6Athletics11Final · Away10 AprMets0Athletics4Final · Away9 AprYankees0Athletics1Final · Away8 AprYankees2Athletics3Final · Away7 AprYankees5Athletics3Final · Home5 AprHouston10Athletics12Final · Home4 AprHouston11Athletics0Final · Home3 AprHouston4Athletics11Final · Away1 AprAtlanta5Athletics1Final · Away31 MarAtlanta2Athletics5Final · Away30 MarAtlanta4Athletics0Final · Away29 MarToronto5Athletics2Final · Away28 MarToronto8Athletics7Final · Away27 MarToronto3Athletics2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason>99%

Athletics under 68 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season
The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 20,000. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWL
1Tampa Bay9765
2White Sox8775
3Houston8082
4Yankees9171
5Minnesota8676
6Boston8577
-Cleveland8280
-Toronto8280
-Athletics6399