MLB · 2026

18th by playoff odds30 clubs

Detroit

4th · 61-66

Playoffs14%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

32

Lose the next 32 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upFriday · Away8:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%Win → 27% · Loss → 18%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away19 AugPittsburgh4Detroit▼ -6319% → 13%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division5%

Bye3%

Pennant1%

World Series<1%

4th in the table · 18th by playoff odds.

AL Central finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 12th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Away8:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%Win → 27% · Loss → 18%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Away7:15 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%14% → 18% – 26%Playoffs Sunday · Away2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%14% → 18% – 26%Playoffs Monday · Home6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 47%TB 53%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs

Full schedule35 to play

Friday · Away8:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%14% → 18% – 27%Playoffs Saturday · Away7:15 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%14% → 18% – 26%Playoffs Sunday · Away2:10 PM EDTKansas City<1%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 49%DET 51%14% → 18% – 26%Playoffs Monday · Home6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 47%TB 53%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Tuesday · Home6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 47%TB 53%14% → 18% – 26%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Home1:10 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 47%TB 53%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Fri 28 Aug · Home6:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 45%LAD 55%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Home1:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 45%LAD 55%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Sun 30 Aug · Home1:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 45%LAD 55%14% → 17% – 25%Playoffs Mon 31 Aug · Away7:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 52%DET 48%14% → 16% – 25%Playoffs Tue 1 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 52%DET 48%14% → 16% – 25%Playoffs Wed 2 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 52%DET 48%14% → 16% – 26%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%14% → 17% – 27%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away6:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%14% → 17% – 26%Playoffs Sun 6 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%14% → 16% – 26%Playoffs Mon 7 Sep · Home3:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 55%MIN 45%14% → 16% – 26%Playoffs Tue 8 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 55%MIN 45%14% → 16% – 26%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 55%MIN 45%14% → 14% – 25%Playoffs Fri 11 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 64%COL 36%14% → 14% – 23%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 64%COL 36%14% → 14% – 22%Playoffs Sun 13 Sep · Home12:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 64%COL 36%14% → 13% – 22%Playoffs Mon 14 Sep · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 56%DET 44%14% → 14% – 25%Playoffs Tue 15 Sep · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 56%DET 44%14% → 13% – 23%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Away3:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 56%DET 44%14% → 13% – 23%Playoffs Thu 17 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 53%DET 47%14% → 12% – 22%Playoffs Fri 18 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 53%DET 47%14% → 12% – 22%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 53%DET 47%14% → 12% – 22%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTWhite Sox84%PlayoffsMatch resultCWS 53%DET 47%14% → 12% – 21%Playoffs Mon 21 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%14% → 12% – 20%Playoffs Tue 22 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%14% → 11% – 19%Playoffs Wed 23 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%14% → 11% – 19%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 54%PIT 46%14% → 12% – 20%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 54%PIT 46%14% → 13% – 21%Playoffs Sun 27 Sep · Home3:10 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 54%PIT 46%14% → 14% – 22%Playoffs Postponed · AwayDate TBDCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 53%DET 47%14% → 17% – 28%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugPittsburgh4Detroit▼ -6319% → 13%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugPittsburgh4Detroit▼ -7125% → 18%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugPittsburgh5Detroit±0820% → 20%Playoffs

All results127 played

Final · Away19 AugPittsburgh4Detroit▼ -6319% → 13%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugPittsburgh4Detroit▼ -7125% → 18%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugPittsburgh5Detroit±0820% → 20%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugWhite Sox7Detroit±0524% → 24%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugWhite Sox4Detroit±0336% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home14 AugWhite Sox9Detroit±0546% → 46%Playoffs Final · Home13 AugCleveland0Detroit▲ +8335% → 43%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugCleveland6Detroit▼ -1446% → 45%Playoffs Final · Home11 AugCleveland4Detroit±0636% → 36%Playoffs Final · Away9 AugSan Francisco1Detroit▼ -3332% → 29%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugSan Francisco0Detroit±0825% → 25%Playoffs Final · Away7 AugSan Francisco5Detroit±0231% → 31%Playoffs Final · Away6 AugSeattle0Detroit▼ -11125% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugSeattle4Detroit▼ -3227% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away4 AugSeattle0Detroit±0819% → 19%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugAthletics0Detroit±01114% → 14%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugAthletics6Detroit▼ -1811% → 10%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulAthletics1Detroit▲ +2138% → 10%Playoffs Final · Home29 JulBaltimore10Detroit▲ +1914% → 15%Playoffs Final · Home28 JulBaltimore0Detroit▲ +31410% → 13%Playoffs Final · Home27 JulBaltimore8Detroit±0515% → 15%Playoffs Final · Home26 JulKansas City5Detroit▲ +2419% → 21%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulKansas City3Detroit▼ -7226% → 19%Playoffs Final · Home24 JulKansas City1Detroit±0219% → 19%Playoffs Final · Home23 JulKansas City3Detroit▲ +6413% → 19%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulCubs1Detroit▲ +1512% → 13%Playoffs Final · Away21 JulCubs11Detroit▲ +1214% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away20 JulCubs6Detroit8 Final · Away19 JulAngels3Detroit2 Final · Away18 JulAngels0Detroit7 Final · Away17 JulAngels1Detroit2 Final · Home12 JulPhiladelphia5Detroit0 Final · Home11 JulPhiladelphia4Detroit2 Final · Home10 JulPhiladelphia2Detroit10 Final · Home9 JulAthletics1Detroit4 Final · Home8 JulAthletics1Detroit6 Final · Home7 JulAthletics2Detroit6 Final · Away5 JulTexas3Detroit6 Final · Away4 JulTexas0Detroit3 Final · Away2 JulTexas10Detroit4 Final · Away1 JulYankees2Detroit6 Final · Away30 JunYankees3Detroit9 Final · Away29 JunYankees3Detroit7 Final · Home28 JunHouston7Detroit5 Final · Home27 JunHouston8Detroit6 Final · Home26 JunHouston0Detroit8 Final · Home25 JunHouston2Detroit1 Final · Home24 JunYankees4Detroit2 Final · Home23 JunYankees4Detroit3 Final · Home22 JunYankees3Detroit5 Final · Home21 JunWhite Sox4Detroit5 Final · Home20 JunWhite Sox1Detroit4 Final · Home19 JunWhite Sox3Detroit4 Final · Away17 JunHouston4Detroit2 Final · Away16 JunHouston4Detroit2 Final · Away15 JunHouston3Detroit9 Final · Away13 JunCleveland3Detroit1 Final · Away12 JunCleveland3Detroit2 Final · Home11 JunMinnesota0Detroit11 Final · Home10 JunMinnesota6Detroit4 Final · Home9 JunMinnesota4Detroit10 Final · Home7 JunSeattle4Detroit5 Final · Home6 JunSeattle4Detroit0 Final · Home5 JunSeattle3Detroit7 Final · Away3 JunTampa Bay2Detroit7 Final · Away2 JunTampa Bay0Detroit8 Final · Away1 JunTampa Bay9Detroit10 Final · Away31 MayWhite Sox2Detroit1 Final · Away30 MayWhite Sox7Detroit1 Final · Away29 MayWhite Sox4Detroit3 Final · Home28 MayAngels7Detroit1 Final · Home27 MayAngels0Detroit4 Final · Home26 MayAngels10Detroit6 Final · Away24 MayBaltimore1Detroit4 Final · Away24 MayBaltimore5Detroit3 Final · Away22 MayBaltimore7Detroit4 Final · Home21 MayCleveland3Detroit1 Final · Home20 MayCleveland3Detroit2 Final · Home19 MayCleveland4Detroit3 Final · Home18 MayCleveland8Detroit2 Final · Home17 MayToronto4Detroit1 Final · Home16 MayToronto2Detroit1 Final · Home15 MayToronto2Detroit3 Final · Away14 MayMets9Detroit4 Final · Away13 MayMets3Detroit2 Final · Away12 MayMets10Detroit2 Final · Away10 MayKansas City3Detroit6 Final · Away9 MayKansas City5Detroit1 Final · Away8 MayKansas City4Detroit3 Final · Home6 MayBoston4Detroit0 Final · Home5 MayBoston10Detroit3 Final · Home4 MayBoston5Detroit4 Final · Home3 MayTexas1Detroit7 Final · Home2 MayTexas1Detroit5 Final · Home1 MayTexas5Detroit4 Final · Away30 AprAtlanta2Detroit5 Final · Away29 AprAtlanta4Detroit3 Final · Away28 AprAtlanta5Detroit2 Final · Away26 AprCincinnati3Detroit8 Final · Away25 AprCincinnati9Detroit2 Final · Away24 AprCincinnati9Detroit8 Final · Home23 AprMilwaukee4Detroit5 Final · Home22 AprMilwaukee2Detroit5 Final · Home21 AprMilwaukee12Detroit4 Final · Away20 AprBoston8Detroit6 Final · Away19 AprBoston2Detroit6 Final · Away18 AprBoston1Detroit4 Final · Away17 AprBoston1Detroit0 Final · Home16 AprKansas City9Detroit10 Final · Home15 AprKansas City1Detroit2 Final · Home14 AprKansas City1Detroit2 Final · Home12 AprMiami2Detroit8 Final · Home11 AprMiami1Detroit6 Final · Home10 AprMiami0Detroit2 Final · Away9 AprMinnesota3Detroit1 Final · Away8 AprMinnesota8Detroit6 Final · Away7 AprMinnesota4Detroit2 Final · Away6 AprMinnesota7Detroit3 Final · Home5 AprSt. Louis5Detroit3 Final · Home4 AprSt. Louis6Detroit11 Final · Home3 AprSt. Louis0Detroit4 Final · Away1 AprArizona1Detroit0 Final · Away31 MarArizona7Detroit5 Final · Away30 MarArizona9Detroit6 Final · Away28 MarSan Diego3Detroit0 Final · Away27 MarSan Diego2Detroit5 Final · Away26 MarSan Diego2Detroit8

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye3%

Detroit 83+ wins

Division Series

2DetroitHomeWild Card Series winner3 Houston or 6 White Sox

Alongside it: 1 Yankees v Wild Card Series winner

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 574. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Yankees	94	68
2	Detroit	85	77
3	Houston	80	82
4	Tampa Bay	89	73
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	82	80
-	Cleveland	82	80
-	Baltimore	80	82

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series2%

Detroit 81+ wins

Wild Card Series

3DetroitHome6Toronto

Alongside it: 4 Yankees v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 484. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	89	73
2	Houston	86	76
3	Detroit	83	79
4	Yankees	89	73
5	Boston	88	74
6	Toronto	83	79
-	Minnesota	81	81
-	Baltimore	80	82
-	White Sox	80	82

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series<1%

A possible long-shot route: 1 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Detroit 86+ wins

Wild Card berth, on the road9%

Detroit 81+ wins

Wild Card Series

3HoustonHome6Detroit

Alongside it: 4 Yankees v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,731. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	93	69
2	White Sox	83	79
3	Houston	78	84
4	Yankees	93	69
5	Boston	86	76
6	Detroit	83	79
-	Baltimore	80	82
-	Toronto	79	83
-	Minnesota	79	83

Miss the postseason86%

Detroit under 83 wins

60% of this route
- below TorontoToronto under 85 wins (91%)
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 85 wins (91%)
23% of this route
- above TorontoToronto 1+ game back (>99%)
17% of this route
- below TorontoToronto under 86 wins (94%)
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ game back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 10,286. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	96	66
2	White Sox	88	74
3	Texas	81	81
4	Yankees	92	70
5	Boston	88	74
6	Toronto	81	81
-	Cleveland	81	81
-	Minnesota	81	81
-	Detroit	77	85