Magic Number.
MLB · 2026
30th by playoff odds30 clubs

San Francisco

4th · 52-74
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
19

Lose the next 19 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Tue 1 Sep.

Next upTonight · Away1:10 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugCleveland0San Francisco±01<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%
Bye<1%
Pennant<1%
World Series<1%

4th in the table · 30th by playoff odds.

NL West finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 14th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Tonight · Away1:10 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%Win → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Tomorrow · Away7:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:15 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away3:15 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Full schedule36 to play
Tonight · Away1:10 PM EDTCleveland19%PlayoffsMatch resultCLE 58%SF 42%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTomorrow · Away7:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:15 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSunday · Away3:15 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 66%SF 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMonday · Home9:45 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTuesday · Home9:45 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWednesday · Home3:45 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 27 Aug · Home9:45 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Home10:15 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home4:05 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:05 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 45%ARI 55%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsThu 3 Sep · Away12:35 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 59%SF 41%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Home8:10 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 47%STL 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Home9:45 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 47%STL 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home3:45 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 47%STL 53%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Home10:15 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Home7:20 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 14 Sep · Away7:45 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 60%SF 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Away7:45 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 60%SF 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Away1:15 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 60%SF 40%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Away10:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 67%SF 33%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away9:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 67%SF 33%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 67%SF 33%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMon 21 Sep · Home9:45 PM EDTMinnesota31%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 49%MIN 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Home9:45 PM EDTMinnesota31%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 49%MIN 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Home3:45 PM EDTMinnesota31%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 49%MIN 51%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home10:15 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 39%LAD 61%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 39%LAD 61%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home3:05 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 39%LAD 61%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsPostponed · AwayDate TBDAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 64%SF 36%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugCleveland0San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 AugCleveland8San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugColorado13San Francisco±07<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results126 played
Final · Away19 AugCleveland0San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 AugCleveland8San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugColorado13San Francisco±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugColorado1San Francisco±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 AugColorado5San Francisco±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 AugHouston2San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home11 AugHouston1San Francisco±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home10 AugHouston6San Francisco±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home9 AugDetroit3San Francisco±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugDetroit8San Francisco±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home7 AugDetroit2San Francisco±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 AugTexas6San Francisco±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 AugTexas5San Francisco±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away3 AugTexas1San Francisco±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away2 AugSan Diego5San Francisco±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugSan Diego6San Francisco±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away31 JulSan Diego7San Francisco±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away30 JulSan Diego1San Francisco±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulMilwaukee3San Francisco±016<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 JulMilwaukee8San Francisco±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home27 JulMilwaukee0San Francisco±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home26 JulAngels4San Francisco±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulAngels2San Francisco±09<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 JulAngels6San Francisco±07<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulKansas City5San Francisco±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 JulKansas City3San Francisco±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 JulKansas City4San Francisco3Final · Away19 JulSeattle6San Francisco3Final · Away18 JulSeattle4San Francisco3Final · Away17 JulSeattle0San Francisco7Final · Home12 JulColorado1San Francisco3Final · Home11 JulColorado2San Francisco4Final · Home10 JulColorado4San Francisco3Final · Home9 JulColorado2San Francisco8Final · Home8 JulToronto10San Francisco0Final · Home7 JulToronto9San Francisco3Final · Home6 JulToronto1San Francisco10Final · Away5 JulColorado7San Francisco6Final · Away4 JulColorado4San Francisco6Final · Away3 JulColorado15San Francisco3Final · Away1 JulArizona4San Francisco6Final · Away30 JunArizona8San Francisco2Final · Away29 JunArizona5San Francisco4Final · Home28 JunAtlanta2San Francisco3Final · Home27 JunAtlanta0San Francisco5Final · Home26 JunAtlanta3San Francisco1Final · Home25 JunAthletics9San Francisco6Final · Home24 JunAthletics1San Francisco2Final · Home23 JunAthletics1San Francisco3Final · Away21 JunMiami2San Francisco1Final · Away20 JunMiami6San Francisco3Final · Away19 JunMiami4San Francisco3Final · Away17 JunAtlanta5San Francisco7Final · Away17 JunAtlanta2San Francisco7Final · Home14 JunCubs1San Francisco5Final · Home13 JunCubs6San Francisco1Final · Home12 JunCubs5San Francisco1Final · Home10 JunWashington10San Francisco11Final · Home9 JunWashington6San Francisco3Final · Home8 JunWashington4San Francisco3Final · Away7 JunCubs1San Francisco2Final · Away6 JunCubs3San Francisco2Final · Away5 JunCubs3San Francisco18Final · Away4 JunMilwaukee9San Francisco12Final · Away3 JunMilwaukee0San Francisco1Final · Away2 JunMilwaukee8San Francisco3Final · Away1 JunMilwaukee16San Francisco2Final · Away31 MayColorado6San Francisco19Final · Away30 MayColorado8San Francisco3Final · Away29 MayColorado8San Francisco6Final · Home27 MayArizona3San Francisco2Final · Home26 MayArizona7San Francisco5Final · Home25 MayArizona6San Francisco2Final · Home24 MayWhite Sox5San Francisco8Final · Home23 MayWhite Sox3San Francisco10Final · Home22 MayWhite Sox9San Francisco4Final · Away20 MayArizona6San Francisco3Final · Away19 MayArizona5San Francisco3Final · Away18 MayArizona12San Francisco2Final · Away17 MayAthletics1San Francisco10Final · Away16 MayAthletics4San Francisco6Final · Away15 MayAthletics5San Francisco2Final · Away14 MayDodgers5San Francisco2Final · Away13 MayDodgers4San Francisco0Final · Away12 MayDodgers2San Francisco6Final · Away11 MayDodgers3San Francisco9Final · Home10 MayPittsburgh6San Francisco7Final · Home9 MayPittsburgh13San Francisco3Final · Home8 MayPittsburgh2San Francisco5Final · Home6 MaySan Diego5San Francisco1Final · Home5 MaySan Diego10San Francisco5Final · Home4 MaySan Diego2San Francisco3Final · Away3 MayTampa Bay2San Francisco1Final · Away2 MayTampa Bay5San Francisco1Final · Away1 MayTampa Bay3San Francisco0Final · Away30 AprPhiladelphia6San Francisco5Final · Away30 AprPhiladelphia3San Francisco2Final · Away28 AprPhiladelphia7San Francisco0Final · Home26 AprMiami3San Francisco6Final · Home25 AprMiami2San Francisco6Final · Home24 AprMiami9San Francisco4Final · Home23 AprDodgers3San Francisco0Final · Home22 AprDodgers0San Francisco3Final · Home21 AprDodgers1San Francisco3Final · Away19 AprWashington3San Francisco0Final · Away18 AprWashington6San Francisco7Final · Away17 AprWashington5San Francisco10Final · Away16 AprCincinnati0San Francisco3Final · Away15 AprCincinnati8San Francisco3Final · Away14 AprCincinnati2San Francisco1Final · Away12 AprBaltimore6San Francisco2Final · Away11 AprBaltimore6San Francisco2Final · Away10 AprBaltimore3San Francisco6Final · Home8 AprPhiladelphia0San Francisco5Final · Home7 AprPhiladelphia0San Francisco6Final · Home6 AprPhiladelphia6San Francisco4Final · Home5 AprMets5San Francisco2Final · Home4 AprMets9San Francisco0Final · Home3 AprMets10San Francisco3Final · Home2 AprMets2San Francisco7Final · Away1 AprSan Diego7San Francisco1Final · Away31 MarSan Diego3San Francisco9Final · Away30 MarSan Diego2San Francisco3Final · Home28 MarYankees3San Francisco1Final · Home27 MarYankees3San Francisco0Final · Home25 MarYankees7San Francisco0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason>99%