Magic Number.
MLB · 2026
23th by playoff odds30 clubs

Washington

4th · 60-67
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
25

Lose the next 25 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Mon 7 Sep.

Happening nowIn progressAway · Their biggest game leftStarted 8:05 PM EDTWashingtonTexas
Last resultFinal · Away18 AugTexas5Washington±00<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division<1%
Bye<1%
Pennant<1%
World Series<1%

4th in the table · 23th by playoff odds.

NL East finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 12th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressAway · Their biggest game leftStarted 8:05 PM EDTWashingtonTexas

Upcoming

Tomorrow · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 57%WSH 43%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsFriday · Away7:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 58%WSH 42%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsSaturday · Away4:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 58%WSH 42%<1% → 1% – 1%Playoffs
Full schedule35 to play
In progressAwayStarted 8:05 PM EDTTexasTomorrow · Away8:05 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultTEX 57%WSH 43%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsFriday · Away7:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 58%WSH 42%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsSaturday · Away4:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 58%WSH 42%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsSunday · Away1:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 58%WSH 42%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsMonday · Home6:45 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 60%COL 40%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsTuesday · Home6:45 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 60%COL 40%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsWed 26 Aug · Home6:45 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 60%COL 40%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsThu 27 Aug · Home1:05 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 60%COL 40%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Home6:45 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 49%MIA 51%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home4:05 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 49%MIA 51%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 30 Aug · Home12:15 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 49%MIA 51%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMon 31 Aug · Home6:45 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 49%MIA 51%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Home6:45 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 45%ATL 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Home1:05 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 45%ATL 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 65%WSH 35%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away9:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 65%WSH 35%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 65%WSH 35%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Away5:10 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Away9:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Home6:45 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 58%LAA 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 58%LAA 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Home1:35 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 58%LAA 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Home6:45 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 43%PHI 57%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Home6:45 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 43%PHI 57%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Away8:15 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 58%WSH 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 58%WSH 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away2:15 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 58%WSH 42%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMon 21 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Away1:10 PM EDTDetroit14%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 57%WSH 43%<1% → 1% – 1%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home6:45 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home4:05 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home3:05 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%<1% → <1% – 1%Playoffs

History

Final · Away18 AugTexas5Washington±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 AugMets4Washington±031% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugMets5Washington±041% → 1%Playoffs
All results127 played
Final · Away18 AugTexas5Washington±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 AugMets4Washington±031% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugMets5Washington±041% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away14 AugMets4Washington±012% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home13 AugCubs0Washington±072% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 AugCubs12Washington▲ +162% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home11 AugCubs8Washington±063% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home9 AugCincinnati1Washington±074% → 4%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugCincinnati2Washington±083% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home7 AugCincinnati3Washington▼ -152% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away6 AugPhiladelphia7Washington±032% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 AugPhiladelphia4Washington±0101% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 AugPhiladelphia5Washington±002% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away3 AugPhiladelphia6Washington±033% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Away2 AugAtlanta4Washington±025% → 5%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugAtlanta8Washington±039% → 9%PlayoffsFinal · Away31 JulAtlanta6Washington±0212% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Away30 JulAtlanta5Washington▼ -1412% → 11%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulToronto5Washington±0218% → 18%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 JulToronto6Washington▲ +1814% → 15%PlayoffsFinal · Home27 JulToronto3Washington▼ -1218% → 17%PlayoffsFinal · Home26 JulArizona7Washington▲ +11013% → 14%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulArizona3Washington▲ +459% → 13%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 JulArizona3Washington±0212% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulColorado0Washington▲ +389% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 JulColorado8Washington▼ -1713% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 JulColorado3Washington7Final · Away19 JulAthletics2Washington5Final · Away18 JulAthletics15Washington1Final · Away17 JulAthletics4Washington23Final · Home12 JulYankees5Washington3Final · Home11 JulYankees4Washington2Final · Home10 JulYankees5Washington3Final · Home8 JulHouston2Washington8Final · Home7 JulHouston6Washington3Final · Home6 JulHouston11Washington12Final · Home5 JulPittsburgh11Washington5Final · Home4 JulPittsburgh7Washington1Final · Home3 JulPittsburgh5Washington9Final · Away1 JulBoston2Washington10Final · Away30 JunBoston1Washington8Final · Away29 JunBoston6Washington3Final · Away28 JunBaltimore4Washington6Final · Away27 JunBaltimore3Washington4Final · Away26 JunBaltimore3Washington1Final · Home25 JunPhiladelphia10Washington5Final · Home24 JunPhiladelphia5Washington4Final · Home23 JunPhiladelphia14Washington9Final · Home22 JunPhiladelphia1Washington4Final · Away21 JunTampa Bay4Washington3Final · Away20 JunTampa Bay3Washington4Final · Away19 JunTampa Bay5Washington2Final · Home17 JunKansas City6Washington2Final · Home16 JunKansas City4Washington6Final · Home15 JunKansas City3Washington7Final · Home14 JunSeattle1Washington10Final · Home13 JunSeattle3Washington8Final · Home12 JunSeattle10Washington2Final · Away10 JunSan Francisco11Washington10Final · Away9 JunSan Francisco3Washington6Final · Away8 JunSan Francisco3Washington4Final · Away7 JunArizona5Washington1Final · Away6 JunArizona1Washington6Final · Away5 JunArizona1Washington14Final · Home3 JunMiami4Washington1Final · Home2 JunMiami7Washington3Final · Home1 JunMiami7Washington3Final · Home31 MaySan Diego2Washington4Final · Home30 MaySan Diego4Washington9Final · Home29 MaySan Diego7Washington5Final · Away27 MayCleveland3Washington2Final · Away26 MayCleveland3Washington6Final · Away25 MayCleveland2Washington10Final · Away24 MayAtlanta1Washington2Final · Away23 MayAtlanta0Washington2Final · Away22 MayAtlanta5Washington4Final · Home21 MayMets2Washington1Final · Home20 MayMets4Washington8Final · Home19 MayMets6Washington9Final · Home18 MayMets16Washington7Final · Home17 MayBaltimore7Washington3Final · Home16 MayBaltimore3Washington13Final · Home15 MayBaltimore2Washington3Final · Away14 MayCincinnati15Washington1Final · Away13 MayCincinnati7Washington8Final · Away12 MayCincinnati4Washington10Final · Away10 MayMiami5Washington2Final · Away9 MayMiami8Washington7Final · Away8 MayMiami2Washington3Final · Home7 MayMinnesota5Washington7Final · Home6 MayMinnesota2Washington15Final · Home5 MayMinnesota11Washington3Final · Home3 MayMilwaukee2Washington3Final · Home2 MayMilwaukee4Washington1Final · Home1 MayMilwaukee6Washington1Final · Away30 AprMets4Washington5Final · Away29 AprMets2Washington14Final · Away28 AprMets8Washington0Final · Away26 AprWhite Sox1Washington2Final · Away25 AprWhite Sox3Washington6Final · Away24 AprWhite Sox5Washington4Final · Home23 AprAtlanta7Washington2Final · Home22 AprAtlanta8Washington6Final · Home21 AprAtlanta4Washington11Final · Home20 AprAtlanta9Washington4Final · Home19 AprSan Francisco0Washington3Final · Home18 AprSan Francisco7Washington6Final · Home17 AprSan Francisco10Washington5Final · Away16 AprPittsburgh7Washington8Final · Away15 AprPittsburgh2Washington0Final · Away14 AprPittsburgh4Washington5Final · Away13 AprPittsburgh16Washington5Final · Away12 AprMilwaukee6Washington8Final · Away11 AprMilwaukee1Washington3Final · Away10 AprMilwaukee3Washington7Final · Home8 AprSt. Louis6Washington1Final · Home7 AprSt. Louis7Washington6Final · Home6 AprSt. Louis6Washington9Final · Home5 AprDodgers8Washington6Final · Home4 AprDodgers10Washington5Final · Home3 AprDodgers13Washington6Final · Away1 AprPhiladelphia6Washington5Final · Away31 MarPhiladelphia3Washington2Final · Away30 MarPhiladelphia2Washington13Final · Away29 MarCubs3Washington6Final · Away28 MarCubs10Washington2Final · Away26 MarCubs4Washington10

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the road<1%

A possible long-shot route: 33 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Washington 83+ wins

Miss the postseason>99%