Premier League · 2026
Aston Villa 0-1Final Mon 31 Aug, 3:00 PM EDT Arsenal
What was at stake
Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.
If Aston Villa had wonTop 4Aston Villa27%37%▲ +10Arsenal99%98%▼ -1TitleAston Villa<1%1%▲ +1Arsenal48%41%▼ -7Top 5-6Aston Villa25%25%±0Arsenal1%2%▲ +1
If it had been a drawTop 4Aston Villa27%28%▲ +1Arsenal99%99%±0TitleAston Villa<1%<1%±0Arsenal48%45%▼ -3Top 5-6Aston Villa25%24%▼ -1Arsenal1%1%±0
What happenedArsenal winTop 4Aston Villa27%24%▼ -3Arsenal99%99%±0TitleAston Villa<1%<1%±0Arsenal48%53%▲ +5Top 5-6Aston Villa25%24%▼ -1Arsenal1%1%±0
What it changed
Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.
Aston Villa
Top 427%27%±0
Top 5-625%25%±0
Arsenal
Top 499%99%±0
Title48%48%±0
Today: Top 4Aston Villa 16th at 14%; Arsenal 2nd at >99%.