Magic Number.
Premier League · 2026

Manchester City 5-3Final Sun 20 Sep, 9:00 AM EDT Sunderland

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedMan City winTitleManchester City57%65%▲ +8RelegationSunderland13%8%▼ -5Top 5-6Sunderland2%3%▲ +1Top 4Sunderland1%<1%▼ -1
If it had been a drawTitleManchester City57%55%▼ -2RelegationSunderland13%5%▼ -8Top 5-6Sunderland2%4%▲ +2Top 4Sunderland1%<1%▼ -1
If Sunderland had wonTitleManchester City57%51%▼ -6RelegationSunderland13%2%▼ -11Top 5-6Sunderland2%5%▲ +3Top 4Sunderland1%1%±0

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Manchester City
Title57%61%▲ +4
Top 4>99%>99%±0
Sunderland
Relegation13%16%▲ +3
Top 5-62%1%▼ -1

Today: TitleMan City 1st at 60%; Sunderland 14th at <1%.