Premier League · 2026
Newcastle9th - 8 pts vSat 17 Oct, 12:30 PM EDT Aston Villa16th - 4 pts
Match resultNewcastle 39%Draw 28%Aston Villa 33%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 4% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 11 points in the Top 4 race.
Newcastle
Top 49%
Top 5-616%
Relegation1%
Aston Villa
Top 414%
Top 5-620%
Relegation<1%
Newcastle winTop 4Newcastle9%17%▲ +8Aston Villa14%8%▼ -6
DrawTop 4Newcastle9%13%▲ +4Aston Villa14%11%▼ -3
Aston Villa winTop 4Newcastle9%10%▲ +1Aston Villa14%19%▲ +5
The race they're in
Top 4, and where each club sits in it.