Premier League · 2026
Aston Villa vSat 24 Oct, 7:30 AM EDT Manchester City
Match resultAston Villa 30%Draw 28%Man City 42%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 14 points in the Top 4 race.
Aston Villa
Title1%
Top 438%
Top 5-628%
Manchester City
Title38%
Top 496%
Top 5-63%
Aston Villa winTop 4Aston Villa38%49%▲ +11Manchester City96%95%▼ -1
DrawTop 4Aston Villa38%39%▲ +1Manchester City96%97%▲ +1
Man City winTop 4Aston Villa38%35%▼ -3Manchester City96%98%▲ +2
The race they're in
Top 4, and where each club sits in it.