Premier League · 2026

Manchester City1st - 15 pts vSat 30 Jan, 10:00 AM EST Arsenal2nd - 12 pts

Match resultMan City 44%Draw 28%Arsenal 28%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 9% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 23 points in the Title race.

Manchester City
Title60%
Top 4>99%
Arsenal
Title39%
Top 4>99%
Top 5-6<1%
Man City winTitleManchester City60%76%▲ +16Arsenal39%23%▼ -16
DrawTitleManchester City60%65%▲ +5Arsenal39%34%▼ -5
Arsenal winTitleManchester City60%52%▼ -8Arsenal39%46%▲ +7

The race they're in

Title, and where each club sits in it.