Premier League · 2026

Liverpool6th - 9 pts vWed 3 Mar, 3:00 PM EST Aston Villa16th - 4 pts

Match resultLiverpool 51%Draw 26%Aston Villa 23%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 6% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 14 points in the Top 4 race.

Liverpool
Title1%
Top 468%
Top 5-619%
Aston Villa
Top 414%
Top 5-620%
Liverpool winTop 4Liverpool68%67%▼ -1Aston Villa14%11%▼ -3
DrawTop 4Liverpool68%58%▼ -10Aston Villa14%14%±0
Aston Villa winTop 4Liverpool68%52%▼ -16Aston Villa14%22%▲ +8

The race they're in

Top 4, and where each club sits in it.