Premier League · 2026
Manchester City vSun 23 May, 10:00 AM EDT Aston Villa
Match resultMan City 60%Draw 23%Aston Villa 17%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 16 points in the Top 4 race.
Manchester City
Title38%
Top 496%
Top 5-63%
Aston Villa
Title1%
Top 438%
Top 5-628%
Man City winTop 4Manchester City96%98%▲ +2Aston Villa38%35%▼ -3
DrawTop 4Manchester City96%95%▼ -1Aston Villa38%41%▲ +3
Aston Villa winTop 4Manchester City96%93%▼ -3Aston Villa38%51%▲ +13
The race they're in
Top 4, and where each club sits in it.