Premier League · 2026

Manchester City1st - 15 pts vSun 23 May, 10:00 AM EDT Aston Villa16th - 4 pts

Match resultMan City 66%Draw 20%Aston Villa 14%

What this game means

The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 10 points in the Title race.

Manchester City
Title60%
Top 4>99%
Aston Villa
Top 414%
Top 5-620%
Relegation<1%
Man City winTitleManchester City60%63%▲ +3
DrawTitleManchester City60%55%▼ -5
Aston Villa winTitleManchester City60%52%▼ -8

The race they're in

Title, and where each club sits in it.