Magic Number - Alta 2026

Playoffs40%

Next upSaturday · Home11:00 PM EDTAlta40%PlayoffsNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultALT 50%Draw 26%NAP 24%Win → 53% · Draw → 30% · Loss → 24%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugNY Cosmos1Alta±0049% → 49%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title<1%

Championship1%

7th in the table · 9th by playoff odds.

Where they finish

1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 9th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home11:00 PM EDTAlta40%PlayoffsNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultALT 50%Draw 26%NAP 24%Win → 53% · Draw → 30% · Loss → 24%Playoffs

Upcoming

Fri 28 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCLT 53%Draw 25%ALT 22%40% → 29% – 55%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Home10:30 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultALT 33%Draw 28%KNX 39%40% → 25% – 51%Playoffs Sun 13 Sep · Away6:00 PM EDTPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 43%Draw 27%ALT 30%40% → 26% – 52%Playoffs

Full schedule9 to play

History

Final · Away15 AugNY Cosmos1Alta±0049% → 49%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugFort Wayne0Alta▲ +4333% → 37%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugNaples2Alta±0150% → 50%Playoffs

All results23 played

Final · Away15 AugNY Cosmos1Alta±0049% → 49%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugFort Wayne0Alta▲ +4333% → 37%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugNaples2Alta±0150% → 50%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugRichmond3Alta±0259% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulWestchester0Alta▼ -10066% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away18 JulKnoxville2Alta▲ +15355% → 70%Playoffs Final · Away15 JulChattanooga1Alta0 Final · Home5 JulCharlotte1Alta1 Final · Away1 JulOmaha3Alta1 Final · Away24 JunCorpus Christi0Alta0 Final · Away20 JunGreenville1Alta2 Final · Home13 JunSpokane0Alta1 Final · Home10 JunSarasota1Alta3 Final · Away30 MayFort Wayne0Alta0 Final · Home23 MayNY Cosmos0Alta4 Final · Away16 MaySarasota1Alta2 Final · Home9 MayMadison0Alta2 Final · Home11 AprBoise2Alta2 Final · Away7 AprSpokane3Alta1 Final · Home4 AprOmaha3Alta1 Final · Home28 MarChattanooga2Alta2 Final · Home21 MarPortland0Alta0 Final · Home7 MarRichmond1Alta1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 93 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Alta 51+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road39%

Alta 44+ points

Quarterfinals

1OmahaHome8Alta

Alongside it: 2 Chattanooga v 7 Spokane · 3 Madison v 6 Boise · 4 Charlotte v 5 Knoxville

88% of this route
- above Fort WayneFort Wayne 1+ point back (96%)
12% of this route
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 54 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 6,914. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Omaha	68
2	Chattanooga	60
3	Madison	55
4	Charlotte	55
5	Knoxville	52
6	Boise	51
7	Spokane	51
8	Alta	47
-	Corpus Christi	43
-	Fort Wayne	42

Miss the postseason60%

Alta under 47 points

57% of this route
- below Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi under 51 points (92%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 51 points (92%)
23% of this route
- above Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi 1+ point back (>99%)
- below Fort WayneFort Wayne under 52 points (92%)
20% of this route
- below Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi under 52 points (95%)
- above Fort WayneFort Wayne 1+ point back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 6,871. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Charlotte	62
2	Knoxville	62
3	Omaha	57
4	Madison	57
5	Chattanooga	56
6	Spokane	50
7	Boise	48
8	Corpus Christi	46
-	Fort Wayne	45
-	Alta	41