A possible long-shot route: 3 of 20,000 simulations reached it.
Portland 50+ points
USL League One · 2026
11th by playoff odds17 clubs
Portland
12th · 5-7-9 · 22 ptsPortland Hearts of Pine saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs3%
Elimination number
8
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 8 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
12th in the table · 11th by playoff odds.
Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th
Most likely 12th. The top 8 make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Sat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 42%Draw 27%FW 31%3% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCLT 56%Draw 24%PHP 20%3% → 1% – 6%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 50%Draw 26%WSC 24%3% → 1% – 4%Playoffs
Full schedule11 to play
Saturday · Away7:00 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 35%Draw 28%PHP 37%3% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 42%Draw 27%FW 31%3% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCLT 56%Draw 24%PHP 20%3% → 1% – 6%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 50%Draw 26%WSC 24%3% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTAlta40%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 43%Draw 27%ALT 30%3% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultCHA 53%Draw 25%PHP 22%3% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home5:00 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 46%Draw 27%SAR 27%3% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Away9:00 PM EDTSpokane91%PlayoffsMatch resultSPO 52%Draw 25%PHP 23%3% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTBoise86%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 39%Draw 28%BOI 33%3% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away6:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMAD 55%Draw 24%PHP 21%3% → <1% – 3%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHP 33%Draw 28%CLT 39%3% → <1% – 2%Playoffs
History
Final · Away19 AugKnoxville1Portland▲ +112% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugMadison2Portland▼ -416% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugCorpus Christi2Portland▼ -1014% → 13%Playoffs
All results21 played
Final · Away19 AugKnoxville1Portland▲ +112% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugMadison2Portland▼ -416% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugCorpus Christi2Portland▼ -1014% → 13%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugGreenville3Portland±0310% → 10%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulOmaha2Portland▼ -9121% → 12%PlayoffsFinal · Away17 JulBoise2Portland1Final · Away3 JulNaples2Portland3Final · Home24 JunRichmond1Portland5Final · Away19 JunWestchester5Portland1Final · Home13 JunChattanooga2Portland1Final · Away3 JunCorpus Christi3Portland2Final · Home30 MaySpokane1Portland2Final · Home23 MayGreenville1Portland1Final · Away9 MayOmaha2Portland2Final · Away6 MayFort Wayne3Portland0Final · Home2 MayNY Cosmos1Portland3Final · Home19 AprNaples1Portland1Final · Home11 AprKnoxville0Portland0Final · Away28 MarSarasota1Portland0Final · Away21 MarAlta0Portland0Final · Away14 MarNY Cosmos1Portland3
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Host a quarterfinal<1%
Reach the quarterfinals on the road3%
Portland 42+ points
Quarterfinals
1MadisonHome8Portland
Alongside it: 2 Omaha v 7 Boise · 3 Charlotte v 6 Spokane · 4 Knoxville v 5 Chattanooga
How the table finishedthe middle season
Miss the postseason97%
Portland under 42 points
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madison | 62 |
| 2 | Omaha | 62 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 56 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 54 |
| 5 | Boise | 54 |
| 6 | Knoxville | 52 |
| 7 | Spokane | 52 |
| 8 | Alta | 50 |
| - | Fort Wayne | 47 |
| - | Corpus Christi | 38 |
| - | Portland | 36 |