Magic Number.
USL League One · 2026
16th by playoff odds17 clubs

Richmond

16th · 5-3-12 · 18 pts
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
8

Lose the next 8 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home7:00 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 35%Draw 28%PHP 37%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away16 AugOmaha5Richmond±01<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Title<1%
Championship<1%

16th in the table · 16th by playoff odds.

Where they finish
1st8th · playoff line17th

Most likely 17th. The top 8 make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home7:00 PM EDTRichmond<1%PlayoffsPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 35%Draw 28%PHP 37%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 26%Draw 26%MAD 48%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 56%Draw 24%RVA 20%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 28%Draw 27%CHA 45%<1% → <1% – <1%Playoffs
Full schedule12 to play
Saturday · Home7:00 PM EDTPortland3%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 35%Draw 28%PHP 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home7:00 PM EDTMadison>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 26%Draw 26%MAD 48%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTFort Wayne41%PlayoffsMatch resultFW 56%Draw 24%RVA 20%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTChattanooga95%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 28%Draw 27%CHA 45%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTWestchester2%PlayoffsMatch resultWSC 48%Draw 26%RVA 26%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home6:00 PM EDTCharlotte>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 25%Draw 26%CLT 49%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away5:00 PM EDTNY Cosmos<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOS 48%Draw 26%RVA 26%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 3 Oct · Home6:00 PM EDTKnoxville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 24%Draw 26%KNX 50%<1% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsWed 7 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTNaples2%PlayoffsMatch resultNAP 50%Draw 26%RVA 24%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTSarasota2%PlayoffsMatch resultSAR 52%Draw 25%RVA 23%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home6:00 PM EDTCorpus Christi38%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 31%Draw 28%CC 41%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home6:00 PM EDTGreenville1%PlayoffsMatch resultRVA 38%Draw 28%GVL 34%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Away16 AugOmaha5Richmond±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 AugNY Cosmos0Richmond±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugAlta2Richmond±03<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away16 AugOmaha5Richmond±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 AugNY Cosmos0Richmond±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugAlta2Richmond±03<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulCharlotte3Richmond±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulSpokane2Richmond±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 JulMadison4Richmond0Final · Home3 JulSarasota0Richmond0Final · Away24 JunPortland5Richmond1Final · Home20 JunFort Wayne2Richmond0Final · Away13 JunCorpus Christi1Richmond0Final · Away10 JunBoise2Richmond1Final · Home30 MayBoise2Richmond2Final · Away27 MayChattanooga5Richmond0Final · Away9 MayGreenville0Richmond3Final · Home1 MayWestchester0Richmond1Final · Home18 AprOmaha1Richmond2Final · Away11 AprSpokane3Richmond1Final · Away27 MarKnoxville1Richmond0Final · Home21 MarNaples1Richmond0Final · Away7 MarAlta1Richmond1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the road<1%

A possible long-shot route: 46 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Richmond 41+ points

Miss the postseason>99%