USL Championship · 2026

FC Tulsa 1-0Final Wed 30 Sep, 8:00 PM EDT New Mexico United

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

What happenedTulsa winConferenceFC Tulsa1%1%±0New Mexico United29%10%▼ -19PlayoffsFC Tulsa95%99%▲ +4
If it had been a drawConferenceFC Tulsa1%<1%▼ -1New Mexico United29%15%▼ -14PlayoffsFC Tulsa95%94%▼ -1
If New Mexico had wonConferenceFC Tulsa1%<1%▼ -1New Mexico United29%37%▲ +8PlayoffsFC Tulsa95%89%▼ -6

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

FC Tulsa
Conference1%3%▲ +2
Playoffs95%99%▲ +4
New Mexico United
Conference29%16%▼ -13
Playoffs>99%>99%±0

Today: ConferenceTulsa 5th at 1%; New Mexico 2nd at 35%.