Magic Number - Birmingham Legion 2026

Playoffs10%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

10

Lose the next 10 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home8:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsJacksonville<1%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 50%Draw 25%JAX 25%Win → 11% · Draw → 5% · Loss → 4%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away15 AugColorado Springs3Birmingham±0214% → 14%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Championship<1%

11th in the table · 21th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 11th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home8:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsJacksonville<1%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 50%Draw 25%JAX 25%Win → 11% · Draw → 5% · Loss → 4%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 55%Draw 23%BHM 22%10% → 4% – 17%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTIndy85%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 52%Draw 24%BHM 24%10% → 4% – 17%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTCharleston>99%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 26%Draw 25%CHS 49%10% → 4% – 15%Playoffs

Full schedule12 to play

History

Final · Away15 AugColorado Springs3Birmingham±0214% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugRhode Island0Birmingham▲ +718% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulLouisville2Birmingham▼ -116% → 5%Playoffs

All results18 played

Final · Away15 AugColorado Springs3Birmingham±0214% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugRhode Island0Birmingham▲ +718% → 15%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulLouisville2Birmingham▼ -116% → 5%Playoffs Final · Away5 JulMiami1Birmingham1 Final · Home2 JulDetroit2Birmingham1 Final · Home20 JunLoudoun1Birmingham1 Final · Away17 JunOakland1Birmingham1 Final · Home13 JunLas Vegas2Birmingham1 Final · Home3 JunLouisville1Birmingham1 Final · Away23 MayMonterey Bay2Birmingham0 Final · Home7 MayMiami0Birmingham0 Final · Away2 MayRhode Island1Birmingham3 Final · Home19 AprIndy2Birmingham2 Final · Home12 AprPittsburgh0Birmingham1 Final · Away4 AprLoudoun2Birmingham2 Final · Away21 MarCharleston3Birmingham2 Final · Home11 MarHartford0Birmingham0 Final · Home7 MarTampa Bay1Birmingham0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinal<1%

A possible long-shot route: 11 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Birmingham 42+ points

Reach the quarterfinals on the road10%

Birmingham 34+ points

Conference Quarterfinals

1Tampa BayHome8Birmingham

Alongside it: 2 Detroit v 7 Indy · 3 Charleston v 6 Louisville · 4 Rhode Island v 5 Pittsburgh

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,012. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	60
2	Detroit	50
3	Charleston	50
4	Rhode Island	49
5	Pittsburgh	44
6	Louisville	44
7	Indy	41
8	Birmingham	37
-	Brooklyn	34
-	Hartford	32
-	Loudoun	31
-	Miami	31

Miss the postseason90%

Birmingham under 35 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 17,977. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	59
2	Louisville	54
3	Charleston	52
4	Pittsburgh	47
5	Detroit	45
6	Rhode Island	42
7	Indy	41
8	Miami	40
-	Hartford	39
-	Birmingham	30