Magic Number.
USL Championship · 2026
24th by playoff odds25 clubs

Jacksonville

13th · 1-5-14 · 8 pts
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
5

Lose the next 5 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away8:00 PM EDTJacksonville<1%PlayoffsBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 50%Draw 25%JAX 25%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home15 AugIndy1Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut
Championship<1%

13th in the table · 24th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st8th · playoff line13th

Most likely 13th. The top 8 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away8:00 PM EDTJacksonville<1%PlayoffsBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 50%Draw 25%JAX 25%Win → <1% · Draw → <1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 51%Draw 25%JAX 24%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 31%Draw 26%LEX 43%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 30%Draw 26%RI 44%<1% → 0% – <1%Playoffs
Full schedule10 to play
Saturday · Away8:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultBHM 50%Draw 25%JAX 25%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away7:00 PM EDTBrooklyn5%PlayoffsMatch resultBKN 51%Draw 25%JAX 24%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTLexington81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 31%Draw 26%LEX 43%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home7:00 PM EDTRhode Island94%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 30%Draw 26%RI 44%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTHartford83%PlayoffsMatch resultHFD 60%Draw 22%JAX 18%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTLoudoun15%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 36%Draw 27%LDN 37%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 30 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTMiami10%PlayoffsMatch resultMFC 48%Draw 25%JAX 27%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTLouisville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 20%Draw 23%LOU 57%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTBirmingham10%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 40%Draw 26%BHM 34%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTBR 71%Draw 17%JAX 12%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs

History

Final · Home15 AugIndy1Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugSacramento5Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulEl Paso2Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Home15 AugIndy1Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugSacramento5Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulEl Paso2Jacksonville±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 JulBrooklyn2Jacksonville±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 JulPittsburgh1Jacksonville2Final · Away3 JulLoudoun2Jacksonville2Final · Home20 JunCharleston5Jacksonville2Final · Home13 JunDetroit6Jacksonville2Final · Away10 JunMonterey Bay2Jacksonville1Final · Home31 MayBrooklyn2Jacksonville2Final · Home27 MaySan Antonio4Jacksonville4Final · Away9 MayIndy2Jacksonville1Final · Away2 MayCharleston4Jacksonville0Final · Away18 AprLouisville1Jacksonville0Final · Away11 AprDetroit1Jacksonville0Final · Home4 AprTampa Bay1Jacksonville0Final · Away28 MarPittsburgh3Jacksonville2Final · Home25 MarMiami4Jacksonville2Final · Away14 MarRhode Island1Jacksonville1Final · Home7 MarHartford3Jacksonville0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-092026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Host a conference quarterfinalNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Reach the quarterfinals on the road<1%

A possible long-shot route: 3 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Jacksonville 33+ points

Miss the postseason>99%