Magic Number.
MLB · 2026

Toronto Blue Jays4th AL East - .484 pct vSat 26 Sep, 3:07 PM EDT Cincinnati Reds5th NL Central - .480 pct

Match resultToronto 57%Cincinnati 43%

What this game means

The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.

At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 2% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.

The result is worth up to 9 points in the Playoffs race.

Toronto Blue Jays
Playoffs26%
Pennantseason odds3%
World Seriesseason odds1%
Toronto winPlayoffsToronto Blue Jays26%29%▲ +3
Cincinnati winPlayoffsToronto Blue Jays26%20%▼ -6

The race they're in

Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.

AL East · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56454TorontoDivision<1%62-66.48415

NL Central · winner qualifies direct

DivisionW-LPCTGB
1MilwaukeeDivision90%78-49.614-2CubsDivision10%74-54.5784.55CincinnatiDivision<1%61-66.48017

The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify

PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-
Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-8TorontoPlayoffs26%62-66.4841

The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify

PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-
Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.523111CincinnatiPlayoffs<1%61-66.4806.5