No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.
MLB · 2026
24th by playoff odds30 clubs
Cincinnati
5th · 61-66Cincinnati Reds saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs<1%
Elimination number
27
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 27 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Could be eliminated as soon as Tue 8 Sep.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
5th in the table · 24th by playoff odds.
NL Central finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner
Most likely 5th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
National League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th
Most likely 12th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Friday · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away8:10 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSunday · Away4:15 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → <1% – <1%Playoffs
Full schedule35 to play
Tomorrow · Home12:40 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 52%STL 48%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsFriday · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSaturday · Away8:10 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSunday · Away4:15 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 57%CIN 43%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMonday · Away9:45 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsTuesday · Away9:45 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsWed 26 Aug · Away3:45 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 48%CIN 52%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsFri 28 Aug · Away2:20 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away2:20 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 30 Aug · Away7:20 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMon 31 Aug · Home6:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 1 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 2 Sep · Home12:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Home6:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 6 Sep · Home12:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMon 7 Sep · Away9:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 62%CIN 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 8 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 62%CIN 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 62%CIN 38%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 11 Sep · Away7:45 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsMon 14 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 45%LAD 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 15 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 45%LAD 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 16 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 45%LAD 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsThu 17 Sep · Home12:40 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 45%LAD 55%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home1:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsTue 22 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsWed 23 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 59%CIN 41%<1% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsFri 25 Sep · Away7:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away3:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away3:07 PM EDTToronto26%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 57%CIN 43%<1% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
History
Final · Home19 AugSt. Louis4Cincinnati±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugSt. Louis3Cincinnati±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugSt. Louis5Cincinnati±06<1% → <1%Playoffs
All results127 played
Final · Home19 AugSt. Louis4Cincinnati±05<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugSt. Louis3Cincinnati±00<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugSt. Louis5Cincinnati±06<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugSt. Louis2Cincinnati±01<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugMiami7Cincinnati▼ -111% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugMiami8Cincinnati±041% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 AugMiami0Cincinnati±011% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 AugWhite Sox8Cincinnati±091% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 AugWhite Sox5Cincinnati±001% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away11 AugWhite Sox4Cincinnati±051% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugWashington7Cincinnati±012% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugWashington8Cincinnati▲ +122% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Away7 AugWashington5Cincinnati±033% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home6 AugAthletics5Cincinnati±063% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 AugAthletics2Cincinnati±032% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home4 AugAthletics4Cincinnati±051% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 AugPittsburgh2Cincinnati±0101% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugPittsburgh4Cincinnati▲ +112% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulPittsburgh7Cincinnati▲ +182% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home30 JulPittsburgh2Cincinnati±031% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 JulCleveland6Cincinnati±012% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 JulCleveland0Cincinnati▲ +121% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 JulCleveland6Cincinnati▼ -152% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 JulSt. Louis3Cincinnati±051% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulSt. Louis7Cincinnati▼ -102% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 JulSt. Louis2Cincinnati±041% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulSeattle3Cincinnati±051% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 JulSeattle2Cincinnati±04<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 JulSeattle8Cincinnati0Final · Away19 JulColorado6Cincinnati9Final · Away18 JulColorado10Cincinnati3Final · Away17 JulColorado2Cincinnati7Final · Home12 JulCubs8Cincinnati4Final · Home11 JulCubs5Cincinnati3Final · Home10 JulCubs0Cincinnati4Final · Home9 JulPhiladelphia1Cincinnati0Final · Home8 JulPhiladelphia5Cincinnati11Final · Home7 JulPhiladelphia4Cincinnati1Final · Home5 JulBaltimore2Cincinnati3Final · Home4 JulBaltimore8Cincinnati5Final · Home3 JulBaltimore3Cincinnati0Final · Away2 JulMilwaukee2Cincinnati7Final · Away1 JulMilwaukee4Cincinnati2Final · Away30 JunMilwaukee7Cincinnati2Final · Away29 JunMilwaukee5Cincinnati3Final · Away28 JunPittsburgh9Cincinnati4Final · Away27 JunPittsburgh7Cincinnati9Final · Away26 JunPittsburgh4Cincinnati6Final · Home24 JunMilwaukee6Cincinnati5Final · Home23 JunMilwaukee2Cincinnati0Final · Home22 JunMilwaukee2Cincinnati1Final · Away21 JunYankees1Cincinnati4Final · Away20 JunYankees2Cincinnati10Final · Away19 JunYankees5Cincinnati0Final · Home17 JunMets9Cincinnati1Final · Home16 JunMets3Cincinnati5Final · Home15 JunMets0Cincinnati12Final · Home14 JunArizona5Cincinnati3Final · Home13 JunArizona1Cincinnati2Final · Home12 JunArizona5Cincinnati2Final · Away10 JunSan Diego5Cincinnati4Final · Away9 JunSan Diego3Cincinnati5Final · Away8 JunSan Diego6Cincinnati2Final · Away7 JunSt. Louis5Cincinnati3Final · Away6 JunSt. Louis6Cincinnati5Final · Away5 JunSt. Louis10Cincinnati3Final · Home3 JunKansas City5Cincinnati2Final · Home2 JunKansas City3Cincinnati4Final · Home1 JunKansas City9Cincinnati2Final · Home31 MayAtlanta4Cincinnati6Final · Home30 MayAtlanta5Cincinnati2Final · Home29 MayAtlanta8Cincinnati3Final · Away27 MayMets4Cincinnati2Final · Away26 MayMets2Cincinnati7Final · Away25 MayMets2Cincinnati7Final · Home23 MaySt. Louis6Cincinnati7Final · Home23 MaySt. Louis8Cincinnati1Final · Away20 MayPhiladelphia4Cincinnati9Final · Away19 MayPhiladelphia1Cincinnati4Final · Away18 MayPhiladelphia5Cincinnati4Final · Away17 MayCleveland10Cincinnati3Final · Away16 MayCleveland7Cincinnati4Final · Away15 MayCleveland6Cincinnati7Final · Home14 MayWashington1Cincinnati15Final · Home13 MayWashington8Cincinnati7Final · Home12 MayWashington10Cincinnati4Final · Home10 MayHouston0Cincinnati5Final · Home9 MayHouston1Cincinnati3Final · Home8 MayHouston10Cincinnati0Final · Away7 MayCubs8Cincinnati3Final · Away6 MayCubs7Cincinnati6Final · Away5 MayCubs3Cincinnati2Final · Away4 MayCubs5Cincinnati4Final · Away3 MayPittsburgh1Cincinnati0Final · Away2 MayPittsburgh17Cincinnati7Final · Away1 MayPittsburgh9Cincinnati1Final · Home30 AprColorado4Cincinnati6Final · Home29 AprColorado13Cincinnati2Final · Home28 AprColorado2Cincinnati7Final · Home26 AprDetroit8Cincinnati3Final · Home25 AprDetroit2Cincinnati9Final · Home24 AprDetroit8Cincinnati9Final · Away22 AprTampa Bay6Cincinnati1Final · Away21 AprTampa Bay6Cincinnati12Final · Away20 AprTampa Bay1Cincinnati6Final · Away19 AprMinnesota4Cincinnati7Final · Away18 AprMinnesota4Cincinnati5Final · Away17 AprMinnesota1Cincinnati2Final · Home16 AprSan Francisco3Cincinnati0Final · Home15 AprSan Francisco3Cincinnati8Final · Home14 AprSan Francisco1Cincinnati2Final · Home12 AprAngels9Cincinnati6Final · Home11 AprAngels3Cincinnati7Final · Home10 AprAngels10Cincinnati2Final · Away9 AprMiami8Cincinnati1Final · Away8 AprMiami7Cincinnati4Final · Away7 AprMiami3Cincinnati6Final · Away6 AprMiami0Cincinnati2Final · Away5 AprTexas1Cincinnati2Final · Away4 AprTexas0Cincinnati2Final · Away3 AprTexas3Cincinnati5Final · Home1 AprPittsburgh8Cincinnati3Final · Home31 MarPittsburgh8Cincinnati3Final · Home30 MarPittsburgh0Cincinnati2Final · Home29 MarBoston2Cincinnati3Final · Home28 MarBoston5Cincinnati6Final · Home26 MarBoston3Cincinnati0
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route
Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route
No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.
Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route
No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.
Wild Card berth, on the road<1%
A possible long-shot route: 24 of 20,000 simulations reached it.
Cincinnati 84+ wins
Miss the postseason>99%
Cincinnati under 81 wins
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee | 100 | 62 |
| 2 | Atlanta | 92 | 70 |
| 3 | Dodgers | 92 | 70 |
| 4 | Cubs | 95 | 67 |
| 5 | San Diego | 90 | 72 |
| 6 | Arizona | 88 | 74 |
| - | St. Louis | 85 | 77 |
| - | Philadelphia | 85 | 77 |
| - | Cincinnati | 76 | 86 |