MLB · 2026
Cincinnati Reds5th NL Central - .480 pct vMon 31 Aug, 6:40 PM EDT San Diego Padres2nd NL West - .531 pct
Match resultCincinnati 48%San Diego 52%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 11 points in the Playoffs race.
San Diego Padres
Playoffs65%
Pennantseason odds5%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Cincinnati winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%56%▼ -9
San Diego winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%67%▲ +2
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
NL Central · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1MilwaukeeDivision90%78-49.614-2CubsDivision10%74-54.5784.55CincinnatiDivision<1%61-66.48017NL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1DodgersDivision99%76-51.598-2San DiegoDivision1%68-60.5318.53ArizonaDivision<1%67-61.5239.5The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.523111CincinnatiPlayoffs<1%61-66.4806.5