MLB · 2026

11th by playoff odds30 clubs

San Diego

2nd · 68-60

Playoffs65%

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

34

Lose the next 34 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upFriday · Home9:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%Win → 70% · Loss → 57%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away19 AugMets4San Diego▼ -6273% → 67%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division1%

Bye<1%

Pennant5%

World Series3%

2nd in the table · 11th by playoff odds.

NL West finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 6th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Home9:40 PM EDTSan Diego65%PlayoffsMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%Win → 70% · Loss → 57%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Home8:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%65% → 57% – 69%Playoffs Sunday · Home4:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%65% → 58% – 70%Playoffs Monday · Home9:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 59%PIT 41%65% → 56% – 68%Playoffs

Full schedule34 to play

Friday · Home9:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%65% → 57% – 70%Playoffs Saturday · Home8:40 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%65% → 57% – 69%Playoffs Sunday · Home4:10 PM EDTMinnesota30%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 60%MIN 40%65% → 58% – 70%Playoffs Monday · Home9:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 59%PIT 41%65% → 56% – 68%Playoffs Tuesday · Home9:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 59%PIT 41%65% → 57% – 69%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Home4:10 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 59%PIT 41%65% → 58% – 70%Playoffs Fri 28 Aug · Away7:10 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 55%SD 45%65% → 59% – 71%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away4:10 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 55%SD 45%65% → 58% – 69%Playoffs Sun 30 Aug · Away1:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 55%SD 45%65% → 57% – 68%Playoffs Mon 31 Aug · Away6:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%65% → 56% – 67%Playoffs Tue 1 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%65% → 55% – 66%Playoffs Wed 2 Sep · Away12:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 48%SD 52%65% → 52% – 64%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 52%NYY 48%65% → 53% – 65%Playoffs Sat 5 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 52%NYY 48%65% → 53% – 64%Playoffs Sun 6 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTYankees>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 52%NYY 48%65% → 54% – 65%Playoffs Mon 7 Sep · Home5:10 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%65% → 53% – 65%Playoffs Tue 8 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%65% → 54% – 65%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 62%WSH 38%65% → 54% – 66%Playoffs Fri 11 Sep · Away10:15 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%65% → 56% – 68%Playoffs Sat 12 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%65% → 57% – 68%Playoffs Sun 13 Sep · Away7:20 PM EDTSan Francisco<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 43%SD 57%65% → 57% – 68%Playoffs Mon 14 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 38%SD 62%65% → 56% – 67%Playoffs Tue 15 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 38%SD 62%65% → 55% – 66%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Away8:40 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 38%SD 62%65% → 54% – 65%Playoffs Thu 17 Sep · Away3:10 PM EDTColorado<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 38%SD 62%65% → 52% – 64%Playoffs Fri 18 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 58%MIA 42%65% → 52% – 64%Playoffs Sat 19 Sep · Home8:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 58%MIA 42%65% → 53% – 64%Playoffs Sun 20 Sep · Home4:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 58%MIA 42%65% → 54% – 65%Playoffs Tue 22 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 57%SD 43%65% → 57% – 67%Playoffs Wed 23 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 57%SD 43%65% → 58% – 68%Playoffs Thu 24 Sep · Away10:10 PM EDTDodgers>99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAD 57%SD 43%65% → 58% – 68%Playoffs Fri 25 Sep · Home9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%65% → 54% – 69%Playoffs Sat 26 Sep · Home8:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%65% → 52% – 67%Playoffs Sun 27 Sep · Home3:10 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 56%ARI 44%65% → 50% – 68%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugMets4San Diego▼ -6273% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugMets2San Diego▲ +7567% → 74%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugMets2San Diego▼ -4171% → 67%Playoffs

All results128 played

Final · Away19 AugMets4San Diego▼ -6273% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugMets2San Diego▲ +7567% → 74%Playoffs Final · Away17 AugMets2San Diego▼ -4171% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugCleveland0San Diego▼ -2568% → 66%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugCleveland6San Diego±0177% → 77%Playoffs Final · Away14 AugCleveland5San Diego±0774% → 74%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugMilwaukee3San Diego▼ -4468% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home11 AugMilwaukee2San Diego▼ -11155% → 54%Playoffs Final · Home10 AugMilwaukee2San Diego▲ +2347% → 49%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugHouston2San Diego±0742% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugHouston2San Diego±0336% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugHouston6San Diego▼ -2347% → 45%Playoffs Final · Away6 AugArizona1San Diego▼ -1535% → 34%Playoffs Final · Away5 AugArizona10San Diego±0442% → 42%Playoffs Final · Away4 AugArizona4San Diego±0932% → 32%Playoffs Final · Away3 AugArizona5San Diego▲ +3139% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugSan Francisco4San Diego±0536% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugSan Francisco5San Diego▲ +4632% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home31 JulSan Francisco0San Diego▲ +4732% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home30 JulSan Francisco4San Diego▲ +2136% → 38%Playoffs Final · Home29 JulColorado1San Diego▲ +4332% → 36%Playoffs Final · Home28 JulColorado7San Diego▼ -1829% → 28%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulMiami3San Diego±0522% → 22%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulMiami2San Diego±0716% → 16%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulMiami2San Diego±0411% → 11%Playoffs Final · Away23 JulAtlanta6San Diego▼ -2514% → 12%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulAtlanta7San Diego▼ -4618% → 14%Playoffs Final · Away21 JulAtlanta3San Diego▲ +4814% → 18%Playoffs Final · Away20 JulAtlanta3San Diego2 Final · Away19 JulKansas City2San Diego19 Final · Away18 JulKansas City6San Diego1 Final · Away17 JulKansas City7San Diego6 Final · Home12 JulToronto4San Diego5 Final · Home11 JulToronto7San Diego8 Final · Home10 JulToronto5San Diego3 Final · Home9 JulArizona3San Diego1 Final · Home8 JulArizona4San Diego10 Final · Home7 JulArizona1San Diego4 Final · Home6 JulArizona8San Diego0 Final · Away5 JulDodgers2San Diego5 Final · Away4 JulDodgers3San Diego0 Final · Away3 JulDodgers4San Diego3 Final · Away2 JulDodgers12San Diego7 Final · Away1 JulCubs23San Diego3 Final · Away30 JunCubs9San Diego7 Final · Away29 JunCubs3San Diego2 Final · Home28 JunDodgers4San Diego2 Final · Home27 JunDodgers15San Diego3 Final · Home26 JunDodgers1San Diego7 Final · Home24 JunAtlanta2San Diego5 Final · Home23 JunAtlanta6San Diego7 Final · Home22 JunAtlanta0San Diego1 Final · Away21 JunTexas4San Diego3 Final · Away20 JunTexas4San Diego6 Final · Away19 JunTexas9San Diego7 Final · Away17 JunSt. Louis1San Diego6 Final · Away16 JunSt. Louis3San Diego2 Final · Away15 JunSt. Louis3San Diego0 Final · Away14 JunBaltimore2San Diego5 Final · Away13 JunBaltimore3San Diego9 Final · Away12 JunBaltimore7San Diego3 Final · Home10 JunCincinnati4San Diego5 Final · Home9 JunCincinnati5San Diego3 Final · Home8 JunCincinnati2San Diego6 Final · Home7 JunMets7San Diego3 Final · Home6 JunMets2San Diego3 Final · Home5 JunMets5San Diego0 Final · Away4 JunPhiladelphia6San Diego4 Final · Away3 JunPhiladelphia3San Diego2 Final · Away2 JunPhiladelphia3San Diego2 Final · Away31 MayWashington4San Diego2 Final · Away30 MayWashington9San Diego4 Final · Away29 MayWashington5San Diego7 Final · Home27 MayPhiladelphia3San Diego0 Final · Home26 MayPhiladelphia4San Diego3 Final · Home25 MayPhiladelphia3San Diego0 Final · Home24 MayAthletics5San Diego2 Final · Home23 MayAthletics0San Diego2 Final · Home22 MayAthletics3San Diego7 Final · Home20 MayDodgers4San Diego0 Final · Home19 MayDodgers5San Diego4 Final · Home18 MayDodgers0San Diego1 Final · Away17 MaySeattle3San Diego8 Final · Away16 MaySeattle4San Diego7 Final · Away15 MaySeattle0San Diego2 Final · Away14 MayMilwaukee7San Diego1 Final · Away13 MayMilwaukee1San Diego3 Final · Away12 MayMilwaukee6San Diego4 Final · Home10 MaySt. Louis2San Diego3 Final · Home9 MaySt. Louis2San Diego4 Final · Home8 MaySt. Louis6San Diego0 Final · Home7 MaySt. Louis2San Diego1 Final · Away6 MaySan Francisco1San Diego5 Final · Away5 MaySan Francisco5San Diego10 Final · Away4 MaySan Francisco3San Diego2 Final · Home3 MayWhite Sox3San Diego4 Final · Home2 MayWhite Sox4San Diego0 Final · Home1 MayWhite Sox8San Diego2 Final · Home29 AprCubs5San Diego4 Final · Home28 AprCubs8San Diego3 Final · Home27 AprCubs7San Diego9 Final · Away26 AprArizona12San Diego7 Final · Away25 AprArizona4San Diego6 Final · Away23 AprColorado8San Diego10 Final · Away22 AprColorado8San Diego3 Final · Away21 AprColorado0San Diego1 Final · Away19 AprAngels1San Diego2 Final · Away18 AprAngels1San Diego4 Final · Away17 AprAngels8San Diego0 Final · Home16 AprSeattle2San Diego5 Final · Home15 AprSeattle6San Diego7 Final · Home14 AprSeattle1San Diego4 Final · Home12 AprColorado2San Diego7 Final · Home11 AprColorado5San Diego9 Final · Home10 AprColorado2San Diego5 Final · Home9 AprColorado3San Diego7 Final · Away8 AprPittsburgh2San Diego8 Final · Away7 AprPittsburgh7San Diego1 Final · Away6 AprPittsburgh0San Diego5 Final · Away5 AprBoston6San Diego8 Final · Away4 AprBoston2San Diego3 Final · Away3 AprBoston5San Diego2 Final · Home1 AprSan Francisco1San Diego7 Final · Home31 MarSan Francisco9San Diego3 Final · Home30 MarSan Francisco3San Diego2 Final · Home28 MarDetroit0San Diego3 Final · Home27 MarDetroit5San Diego2 Final · Home26 MarDetroit8San Diego2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye<1%

A possible long-shot route: 71 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

San Diego 92+ wins

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series<1%

A possible long-shot route: 93 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

San Diego 89+ wins

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series5%

San Diego 89+ wins

Wild Card Series

4San DiegoHome5Arizona

Alongside it: 3 Dodgers v 6 Cubs

81% of this route
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia 1+ game back (>99%)
19% of this route
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 95 wins (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 837. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	101	61
2	Atlanta	92	70
3	Dodgers	92	70
4	San Diego	91	71
5	Arizona	90	72
6	Cubs	89	73
-	Philadelphia	87	75
-	Pittsburgh	83	79

Wild Card berth, on the road59%

San Diego 85+ wins

Wild Card Series

3DodgersHome6San Diego

Alongside it: 4 Cubs v 5 Atlanta

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 11,809. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Philadelphia	93	69
3	Dodgers	90	72
4	Cubs	94	68
5	Atlanta	91	71
6	San Diego	88	74
-	Miami	85	77
-	Arizona	84	78
-	St. Louis	82	80

Miss the postseason35%

San Diego under 88 wins

55% of this route
- below ArizonaArizona under 91 wins (94%)
- above St. LouisSt. Louis 1+ game back (>99%)
31% of this route
- below ArizonaArizona under 90 wins (90%)
- below St. LouisSt. Louis under 89 wins (94%)
14% of this route
- above ArizonaArizona 1+ game back (>99%)
- below St. LouisSt. Louis under 89 wins (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,831. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	100	62
2	Dodgers	92	70
3	Philadelphia	92	70
4	Cubs	91	71
5	Atlanta	90	72
6	Arizona	87	75
-	San Diego	85	77
-	Miami	85	77
-	St. Louis	81	81