MLB · 2026
Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct vSun 30 Aug, 1:40 PM EDT San Diego Padres2nd NL West - .531 pct
Match resultTampa Bay 55%San Diego 45%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 11 points in the Playoffs race.
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
San Diego Padres
Playoffs65%
Pennantseason odds5%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Tampa Bay winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%57%▼ -8
San Diego winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%68%▲ +3
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5NL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1DodgersDivision99%76-51.598-2San DiegoDivision1%68-60.5318.53ArizonaDivision<1%67-61.5239.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%76-50.6036MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify