MLB · 2026
San Diego Padres2nd NL West - .531 pct vSat 5 Sep, 7:15 PM EDT New York Yankees2nd AL East - .564 pct
Match resultSan Diego 52%Yankees 48%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 12 points in the Playoffs race.
San Diego Padres
Playoffs65%
Pennantseason odds5%
World Seriesseason odds3%
New York Yankees
Playoffsmagic number 28>99%
Division18%
Pennantseason odds20%
World Seriesseason odds10%
Byeseason odds18%
San Diego winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%64%▼ -1
Yankees winPlayoffsSan Diego Padres65%53%▼ -12
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5NL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1DodgersDivision99%76-51.598-2San DiegoDivision1%68-60.5318.53ArizonaDivision<1%67-61.5239.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
2YankeesPlayoffs>99%71-55.564+96MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify