MLB · 2026

10th by playoff odds30 clubs

Yankees

2nd · 93-68

PlayoffsClinched

Next upSun 27 Sep · Home1:05 PM EDTYankeesClinchedPlayoffsBaltimore<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%BAL 39%

Last resultFinal · Home25 SepBaltimore3Yankees±06Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

DivisionOut

ByeOut

Pennant17%

World Series8%

2nd in the table · 10th by playoff odds.

AL East finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sun 27 Sep · Home1:05 PM EDTYankeesClinchedPlayoffsBaltimore<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%BAL 39%

History

Final · Home25 SepBaltimore3Yankees±06Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home25 SepBaltimore10Yankees±02Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home24 SepTampa Bay4Yankees±06Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs

All results161 played

Final · Home25 SepBaltimore3Yankees±06Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home25 SepBaltimore10Yankees±02Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home24 SepTampa Bay4Yankees±06Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home23 SepTampa Bay2Yankees±09Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home22 SepTampa Bay6Yankees±01Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Home22 SepTampa Bay0Yankees±02Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away20 SepArizona8Yankees±04Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away19 SepArizona5Yankees±03Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away18 SepArizona2Yankees±09Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away16 SepMinnesota5Yankees±04Clinched → ClinchedPlayoffs Final · Away15 SepMinnesota1Yankees±08>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away14 SepMinnesota3Yankees±08>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home13 SepMets0Yankees±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepMets12Yankees±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home11 SepMets4Yankees±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home10 SepColorado3Yankees±010>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home9 SepColorado1Yankees±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home8 SepColorado3Yankees±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away6 SepSan Diego4Yankees±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away5 SepSan Diego1Yankees±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away4 SepSan Diego3Yankees±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away2 SepAngels3Yankees±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away1 SepAngels3Yankees±07>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away31 AugAngels10Yankees±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home30 AugBoston1Yankees±016>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugBoston2Yankees±09>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugBoston6Yankees±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home28 AugBoston0Yankees±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home27 AugHouston5Yankees±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home26 AugHouston3Yankees±09>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home25 AugHouston9Yankees±07>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home23 AugToronto3Yankees±08>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugToronto4Yankees±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home21 AugToronto1Yankees±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away20 AugBaltimore1Yankees±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away19 AugBaltimore3Yankees±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away18 AugBaltimore1Yankees▲ +1399% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugToronto3Yankees±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugToronto4Yankees±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away14 AugToronto3Yankees±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home13 AugSeattle1Yankees±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home12 AugSeattle5Yankees±010>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home11 AugSeattle1Yankees±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugAtlanta2Yankees±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugAtlanta4Yankees±0599% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugAtlanta2Yankees±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSt. Louis3Yankees±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugSt. Louis0Yankees±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugSt. Louis13Yankees±0799% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugCubs1Yankees±0298% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugCubs5Yankees±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulCubs0Yankees±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away30 JulWhite Sox2Yankees±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulWhite Sox6Yankees▼ -15>99% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulWhite Sox2Yankees±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulWhite Sox5Yankees±0999% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulPhiladelphia11Yankees±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulPhiladelphia1Yankees±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulPhiladelphia0Yankees±0197% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulPittsburgh0Yankees▼ -1298% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulPittsburgh5Yankees±0398% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulPittsburgh5Yankees8 Final · Home19 JulDodgers1Yankees2 Final · Home19 JulDodgers8Yankees2 Final · Home17 JulDodgers2Yankees1 Final · Away12 JulWashington3Yankees5 Final · Away11 JulWashington2Yankees4 Final · Away10 JulWashington3Yankees5 Final · Away9 JulTampa Bay4Yankees12 Final · Away8 JulTampa Bay3Yankees0 Final · Away7 JulTampa Bay6Yankees4 Final · Away6 JulTampa Bay1Yankees5 Final · Home5 JulMinnesota6Yankees1 Final · Home4 JulMinnesota11Yankees4 Final · Home3 JulMinnesota2Yankees5 Final · Home1 JulDetroit6Yankees2 Final · Home30 JunDetroit9Yankees3 Final · Home29 JunDetroit7Yankees3 Final · Away28 JunBoston5Yankees4 Final · Away27 JunBoston4Yankees1 Final · Away26 JunBoston6Yankees1 Final · Away25 JunBoston6Yankees3 Final · Away24 JunDetroit2Yankees4 Final · Away23 JunDetroit3Yankees4 Final · Away22 JunDetroit5Yankees3 Final · Home21 JunCincinnati4Yankees1 Final · Home20 JunCincinnati10Yankees2 Final · Home19 JunCincinnati0Yankees5 Final · Home18 JunWhite Sox5Yankees1 Final · Home17 JunWhite Sox5Yankees10 Final · Home16 JunWhite Sox2Yankees12 Final · Away14 JunToronto3Yankees8 Final · Away13 JunToronto1Yankees3 Final · Away12 JunToronto8Yankees5 Final · Away10 JunCleveland4Yankees8 Final · Away9 JunCleveland2Yankees3 Final · Away8 JunCleveland5Yankees7 Final · Home7 JunBoston1Yankees6 Final · Home5 JunBoston5Yankees3 Final · Home4 JunCleveland1Yankees2 Final · Home3 JunCleveland5Yankees4 Final · Home2 JunCleveland9Yankees4 Final · Away31 MayAthletics8Yankees13 Final · Away30 MayAthletics6Yankees4 Final · Away29 MayAthletics2Yankees8 Final · Away27 MayKansas City0Yankees7 Final · Away26 MayKansas City1Yankees15 Final · Away25 MayKansas City3Yankees4 Final · Home24 MayTampa Bay0Yankees2 Final · Home22 MayTampa Bay4Yankees2 Final · Home21 MayToronto2Yankees0 Final · Home20 MayToronto2Yankees1 Final · Home19 MayToronto4Yankees5 Final · Home18 MayToronto6Yankees7 Final · Away17 MayMets7Yankees6 Final · Away16 MayMets6Yankees3 Final · Away15 MayMets2Yankees5 Final · Away13 MayBaltimore7Yankees0 Final · Away12 MayBaltimore2Yankees6 Final · Away11 MayBaltimore3Yankees2 Final · Away10 MayMilwaukee4Yankees3 Final · Away9 MayMilwaukee4Yankees3 Final · Away8 MayMilwaukee6Yankees0 Final · Home7 MayTexas2Yankees9 Final · Home6 MayTexas6Yankees1 Final · Home5 MayTexas4Yankees7 Final · Home4 MayBaltimore1Yankees12 Final · Home3 MayBaltimore3Yankees11 Final · Home2 MayBaltimore4Yankees9 Final · Home1 MayBaltimore2Yankees7 Final · Away29 AprTexas3Yankees0 Final · Away28 AprTexas2Yankees3 Final · Away27 AprTexas2Yankees4 Final · Away26 AprHouston7Yankees4 Final · Away25 AprHouston3Yankees8 Final · Away24 AprHouston4Yankees12 Final · Away23 AprBoston2Yankees4 Final · Away22 AprBoston1Yankees4 Final · Away21 AprBoston0Yankees4 Final · Home19 AprKansas City0Yankees7 Final · Home18 AprKansas City4Yankees13 Final · Home17 AprKansas City2Yankees4 Final · Home16 AprAngels11Yankees4 Final · Home15 AprAngels4Yankees5 Final · Home14 AprAngels7Yankees1 Final · Home13 AprAngels10Yankees11 Final · Away12 AprTampa Bay5Yankees4 Final · Away11 AprTampa Bay5Yankees4 Final · Away10 AprTampa Bay5Yankees3 Final · Home9 AprAthletics1Yankees0 Final · Home8 AprAthletics3Yankees2 Final · Home7 AprAthletics3Yankees5 Final · Home5 AprMiami7Yankees6 Final · Home4 AprMiami7Yankees9 Final · Home3 AprMiami2Yankees8 Final · Away1 AprSeattle3Yankees5 Final · Away31 MarSeattle0Yankees5 Final · Away30 MarSeattle2Yankees1 Final · Away28 MarSan Francisco1Yankees3 Final · Away27 MarSan Francisco0Yankees3 Final · Away25 MarSan Francisco0Yankees7

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series>99%

Yankees 93+ wins

Wild Card Series

4YankeesHome5Boston

Alongside it: 3 Houston v 6 White Sox

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 20,000. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	98	64
2	Cleveland	86	76
3	Houston	81	81
4	Yankees	94	68
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	84	78
-	Texas	80	82
-	Baltimore	79	83

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseasonNo path

No path remains: the postseason place is clinched.