MLB · 2026

New York Yankees 7-9Final Tue 25 Aug, 7:05 PM EDT Houston Astros

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If Yankees had wonPlayoffsHouston Astros42%31%▼ -11DivisionNew York Yankees28%32%▲ +4Houston Astros36%26%▼ -10
What happenedHouston winPlayoffsHouston Astros42%45%▲ +3DivisionNew York Yankees28%23%▼ -5Houston Astros36%38%▲ +2

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

New York Yankees
Playoffs>99%>99%±0
Division28%25%▼ -3
Houston Astros
Playoffs42%50%▲ +8
Division36%43%▲ +7

Today: PlayoffsYankees 2nd, clinched; Houston 1st at 77%.