MLB · 2026
New York Yankees2nd AL East - .564 pct vFri 21 Aug, 7:05 PM EDT Toronto Blue Jays4th AL East - .484 pct
Match resultYankees 58%Toronto 42%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 8 points in the Playoffs race.
New York Yankees
Playoffsmagic number 28>99%
Division18%
Pennantseason odds20%
World Seriesseason odds10%
Byeseason odds18%
Toronto Blue Jays
Playoffs26%
Pennantseason odds3%
World Seriesseason odds1%
Yankees winPlayoffsToronto Blue Jays26%16%▼ -10
Toronto winPlayoffsToronto Blue Jays26%23%▼ -3
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56454TorontoDivision<1%62-66.48415The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
2YankeesPlayoffs>99%71-55.564+96MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-8TorontoPlayoffs26%62-66.4841