MLB · 2026

13th by playoff odds30 clubs

Texas

2nd · 80-81

Playoffs23%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sun 27 Sep.

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Sun 27 Sep.

Next upSun 27 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left3:10 PM EDTTexas23%PlayoffsMinnesotaOutPlayoffsMatch resultMIN 50%TEX 50%Win → 41% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away27 SepMinnesota6Texas4

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division23%

ByeOut

Pennant2%

World Series1%

2nd in the table · 13th by playoff odds.

AL West finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 7th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sun 27 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left3:10 PM EDTTexas23%PlayoffsMinnesotaOutPlayoffsMatch resultMIN 50%TEX 50%Win → 41% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

History

Final · Away27 SepMinnesota6Texas4 Final · Away26 SepMinnesota2Texas±0627% → 27%Playoffs Final · Away25 SepMinnesota10Texas▼ -14228% → 14%Playoffs

All results162 played

Final · Away27 SepMinnesota6Texas4 Final · Away26 SepMinnesota2Texas±0627% → 27%Playoffs Final · Away25 SepMinnesota10Texas▼ -14228% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home24 SepMets1Texas±0331% → 31%Playoffs Final · Home23 SepMets7Texas±0234% → 34%Playoffs Final · Home22 SepMets6Texas±0362% → 62%Playoffs Final · Home20 SepToronto7Texas▼ -5266% → 61%Playoffs Final · Home19 SepToronto2Texas▲ +16649% → 65%Playoffs Final · Home18 SepToronto1Texas▲ +16734% → 50%Playoffs Final · Home17 SepBoston4Texas▼ -16351% → 35%Playoffs Final · Home16 SepBoston3Texas▲ +15736% → 51%Playoffs Final · Home15 SepBoston2Texas±0432% → 32%Playoffs Final · Away13 SepArizona6Texas▲ +9720% → 29%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepArizona2Texas▲ +8612% → 20%Playoffs Final · Away11 SepArizona9Texas▼ -3115% → 12%Playoffs Final · Away10 SepSeattle4Texas±0322% → 22%Playoffs Final · Away9 SepSeattle3Texas▼ -2227% → 25%Playoffs Final · Away8 SepSeattle5Texas▲ +11019% → 20%Playoffs Final · Home6 SepTampa Bay6Texas▼ -2814% → 12%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepTampa Bay6Texas▼ -3316% → 13%Playoffs Final · Home4 SepTampa Bay7Texas▲ +6621% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home3 SepTampa Bay0Texas±0620% → 20%Playoffs Final · Home2 SepAthletics9Texas±0233% → 33%Playoffs Final · Home1 SepAthletics5Texas▲ +2823% → 25%Playoffs Final · Home31 AugAthletics1Texas±0824% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away30 AugMilwaukee4Texas±0720% → 20%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugMilwaukee5Texas▼ -4324% → 20%Playoffs Final · Away28 AugMilwaukee6Texas▼ -4125% → 21%Playoffs Final · Away26 AugWhite Sox10Texas±0435% → 35%Playoffs Final · Away25 AugWhite Sox11Texas±0742% → 42%Playoffs Final · Away24 AugWhite Sox2Texas±01140% → 40%Playoffs Final · Home23 AugAngels3Texas±0529% → 29%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugAngels3Texas▼ -8035% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home21 AugAngels1Texas±0233% → 33%Playoffs Final · Home20 AugWashington0Texas▲ +7223% → 30%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugWashington6Texas±0034% → 34%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugWashington0Texas▲ +6524% → 30%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugAthletics5Texas±0229% → 29%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugAthletics3Texas±0524% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away14 AugAthletics8Texas▼ -7331% → 24%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugAngels7Texas±0038% → 38%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugAngels5Texas▲ +1246% → 47%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugAngels3Texas▼ -1254% → 53%Playoffs Final · Away10 AugAngels1Texas▲ +4446% → 50%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugBaltimore10Texas▼ -3557% → 54%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugBaltimore1Texas▼ -2549% → 47%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugBaltimore1Texas▲ +1241% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugSan Francisco0Texas▼ -2633% → 31%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugSan Francisco4Texas±0526% → 26%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugSan Francisco5Texas▼ -2133% → 31%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugHouston7Texas▲ +1339% → 40%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugHouston5Texas±0447% → 47%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulHouston11Texas▲ +2254% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away30 JulTampa Bay3Texas▼ -6262% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulTampa Bay3Texas±0069% → 69%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulTampa Bay1Texas±0464% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home27 JulSeattle3Texas▲ +8758% → 66%Playoffs Final · Home26 JulSeattle6Texas▼ -8466% → 58%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulSeattle1Texas▼ -1760% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home24 JulSeattle4Texas▼ -1551% → 50%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulWhite Sox4Texas▲ +1258% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulWhite Sox0Texas▲ +11051% → 52%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulWhite Sox10Texas3 Final · Away19 JulAtlanta8Texas5 Final · Away18 JulAtlanta6Texas7 Final · Away17 JulAtlanta15Texas1 Final · Home12 JulHouston5Texas6 Final · Home11 JulHouston9Texas3 Final · Home10 JulHouston3Texas7 Final · Home9 JulAngels6Texas7 Final · Home8 JulAngels13Texas1 Final · Home7 JulAngels3Texas8 Final · Home5 JulDetroit6Texas3 Final · Home4 JulDetroit3Texas0 Final · Home2 JulDetroit4Texas10 Final · Away1 JulCleveland9Texas4 Final · Away30 JunCleveland2Texas4 Final · Away29 JunCleveland3Texas6 Final · Away28 JunToronto2Texas3 Final · Away27 JunToronto4Texas7 Final · Away26 JunToronto4Texas5 Final · Away25 JunToronto5Texas6 Final · Away24 JunMiami4Texas2 Final · Away23 JunMiami6Texas4 Final · Away22 JunMiami3Texas4 Final · Home21 JunSan Diego3Texas4 Final · Home20 JunSan Diego6Texas4 Final · Home19 JunSan Diego7Texas9 Final · Home18 JunMinnesota9Texas3 Final · Home16 JunMinnesota12Texas2 Final · Home15 JunMinnesota4Texas2 Final · Away14 JunBoston4Texas6 Final · Away13 JunBoston6Texas3 Final · Away12 JunBoston10Texas1 Final · Away11 JunKansas City2Texas4 Final · Away10 JunKansas City4Texas6 Final · Away9 JunKansas City5Texas3 Final · Home7 JunCleveland0Texas10 Final · Home6 JunCleveland6Texas0 Final · Home5 JunCleveland2Texas3 Final · Away3 JunSt. Louis5Texas3 Final · Away2 JunSt. Louis4Texas7 Final · Away1 JunSt. Louis1Texas2 Final · Home31 MayKansas City3Texas6 Final · Home30 MayKansas City6Texas7 Final · Home29 MayKansas City1Texas9 Final · Home28 MayHouston5Texas1 Final · Home27 MayHouston4Texas3 Final · Home26 MayHouston7Texas10 Final · Home25 MayHouston9Texas0 Final · Away24 MayAngels2Texas1 Final · Away23 MayAngels5Texas2 Final · Away22 MayAngels9Texas6 Final · Away20 MayColorado4Texas5 Final · Away19 MayColorado0Texas10 Final · Away18 MayColorado7Texas6 Final · Away17 MayHouston0Texas8 Final · Away16 MayHouston4Texas1 Final · Away15 MayHouston2Texas0 Final · Home13 MayArizona5Texas6 Final · Home12 MayArizona4Texas7 Final · Home11 MayArizona1Texas0 Final · Home10 MayCubs0Texas3 Final · Home9 MayCubs0Texas6 Final · Home8 MayCubs7Texas1 Final · Away7 MayYankees9Texas2 Final · Away6 MayYankees1Texas6 Final · Away5 MayYankees7Texas4 Final · Away3 MayDetroit7Texas1 Final · Away2 MayDetroit5Texas1 Final · Away1 MayDetroit4Texas5 Final · Home29 AprYankees0Texas3 Final · Home28 AprYankees3Texas2 Final · Home27 AprYankees4Texas2 Final · Home26 AprAthletics2Texas1 Final · Home25 AprAthletics3Texas4 Final · Home24 AprAthletics8Texas1 Final · Home23 AprPittsburgh1Texas6 Final · Home22 AprPittsburgh8Texas4 Final · Home21 AprPittsburgh1Texas5 Final · Away19 AprSeattle5Texas2 Final · Away18 AprSeattle7Texas3 Final · Away17 AprSeattle0Texas5 Final · Away16 AprAthletics6Texas9 Final · Away15 AprAthletics6Texas5 Final · Away14 AprAthletics2Texas1 Final · Away13 AprAthletics1Texas8 Final · Away12 AprDodgers2Texas5 Final · Away11 AprDodgers6Texas3 Final · Away10 AprDodgers8Texas7 Final · Home8 AprSeattle0Texas3 Final · Home7 AprSeattle2Texas3 Final · Home6 AprSeattle1Texas2 Final · Home5 AprCincinnati2Texas1 Final · Home4 AprCincinnati2Texas0 Final · Home3 AprCincinnati5Texas3 Final · Away1 AprBaltimore8Texas3 Final · Away31 MarBaltimore5Texas8 Final · Away30 MarBaltimore2Texas5 Final · Away29 MarPhiladelphia3Texas8 Final · Away28 MarPhiladelphia4Texas5 Final · Away26 MarPhiladelphia5Texas3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series23%

Texas 81+ wins

Wild Card Series

3TexasHome6White Sox

Alongside it: 4 Yankees v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,544. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	98	64
2	Cleveland	86	76
3	Texas	81	81
4	Yankees	94	68
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	83	79
-	Houston	80	82
-	Baltimore	79	83

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason77%

Texas under 82 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,456. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	98	64
2	Cleveland	86	76
3	Houston	81	81
4	Yankees	94	68
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	84	78
-	Texas	80	82
-	Baltimore	79	83