MLB · 2026
New York Yankees2nd AL East - .564 pct vTue 22 Sep, 7:05 PM EDT Tampa Bay Rays1st AL East - .603 pct
Match resultYankees 54%Tampa Bay 46%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 7% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 13 points in the Division race.
New York Yankees
Playoffsmagic number 28>99%
Division18%
Pennantseason odds20%
World Seriesseason odds10%
Byeseason odds18%
Tampa Bay Rays
Playoffsmagic number 23>99%
Division80%
Pennantseason odds29%
World Seriesseason odds14%
Byeseason odds80%
Yankees winDivisionNew York Yankees18%30%▲ +12Tampa Bay Rays80%66%▼ -14
Tampa Bay winDivisionNew York Yankees18%17%▼ -1Tampa Bay Rays80%80%±0
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1Tampa BayDivision80%76-50.603-2YankeesDivision18%71-55.56453BostonDivision3%68-59.5358.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
1Tampa BayPlayoffs>99%76-50.6032YankeesPlayoffs>99%71-55.564+96MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-