MLB · 2026

1st by playoff odds30 clubs

Milwaukee

1st · 78-49

Playoffs>99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

24

Win the next 24 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 5 Sep.

Next upTomorrow · Home2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%SEA 36%Win → 94% · Loss → 88%Division

Last resultFinal · Home19 AugSeattle7Milwaukee±05>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division90%

Bye86%

Pennant33%

World Series20%

1st in the table · 1st by playoff odds.

NL Central finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 1st. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Tomorrow · Home2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%SEA 36%Win → 94% · Loss → 88%Division

Upcoming

Friday · Home4:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 90% – 94%Division Saturday · Home2:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 90% – 94%Division Sunday · Home7:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 89% – 93%Division

Full schedule35 to play

Tomorrow · Home2:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%SEA 36%90% → 88% – 94%Division Friday · Home4:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 90% – 94%Division Saturday · Home2:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 90% – 94%Division Sunday · Home7:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 59%ATL 41%90% → 89% – 93%Division Tuesday · Away7:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%90% → 90% – 93%Division Wed 26 Aug · Away7:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%90% → 90% – 93%Division Thu 27 Aug · Away7:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 43%MIL 57%90% → 90% – 94%Division Fri 28 Aug · Home7:40 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%TEX 36%90% → 89% – 94%Division Sat 29 Aug · Home7:15 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%TEX 36%90% → 89% – 93%Division Sun 30 Aug · Home2:10 PM EDTTexas34%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%TEX 36%90% → 89% – 93%Division Mon 31 Aug · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%90% → 88% – 95%Division Tue 1 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%90% → 89% – 95%Division Wed 2 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%90% → 87% – 94%Division Thu 3 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%90% → 87% – 94%Division Fri 4 Sep · Away6:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%90% → 88% – 92%Division Sat 5 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%90% → 88% – 92%Division Sun 6 Sep · Away12:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 43%MIL 57%90% → 88% – 92%Division Mon 7 Sep · Home2:10 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%90% → 85% – 93%Division Tue 8 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%90% → 85% – 94%Division Wed 9 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%90% → 84% – 92%Division Fri 11 Sep · Home7:45 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%90% → 86% – 91%Division Sat 12 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%90% → 86% – 91%Division Sun 13 Sep · Home2:10 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 64%CIN 36%90% → 86% – 91%Division Tue 15 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 43%MIL 57%90% → 87% – 91%Division Wed 16 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 43%MIL 57%90% → 87% – 91%Division Thu 17 Sep · Away12:35 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultPIT 43%MIL 57%90% → 87% – 91%Division Fri 18 Sep · Away7:05 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 43%MIL 57%90% → 87% – 92%Division Sat 19 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 43%MIL 57%90% → 87% – 92%Division Sun 20 Sep · Away7:20 PM EDTBaltimore9%PlayoffsMatch resultBAL 43%MIL 57%90% → 86% – 91%Division Tue 22 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%90% → 86% – 91%Division Wed 23 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%90% → 86% – 90%Division Thu 24 Sep · Away6:05 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%90% → 84% – 88%Division Fri 25 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 63%STL 37%90% → 83% – 87%Division Sat 26 Sep · Home7:10 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 63%STL 37%90% → 82% – 86%Division Sun 27 Sep · Home3:10 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 63%STL 37%90% → 82% – 84%Division

History

Final · Home19 AugSeattle7Milwaukee±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugSeattle0Milwaukee±022>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugDodgers2Milwaukee±06>99% → >99%Playoffs

All results127 played

Final · Home19 AugSeattle7Milwaukee±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugSeattle0Milwaukee±022>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugDodgers2Milwaukee±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugDodgers1Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away14 AugDodgers3Milwaukee±01>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugDodgers4Milwaukee±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugSan Diego4Milwaukee±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugSan Diego11Milwaukee±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away10 AugSan Diego3Milwaukee±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugMinnesota3Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugMinnesota3Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugMinnesota8Milwaukee±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugPittsburgh2Milwaukee±05>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugPittsburgh2Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugPittsburgh2Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugPittsburgh4Milwaukee±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugAngels3Milwaukee±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugAngels1Milwaukee±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulAngels2Milwaukee±06>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulSan Francisco16Milwaukee±03>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulSan Francisco2Milwaukee±08>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulSan Francisco3Milwaukee±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home26 JulColorado2Milwaukee±011>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulColorado5Milwaukee±08>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home24 JulColorado5Milwaukee±02>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulMets3Milwaukee±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulMets4Milwaukee±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulMets3Milwaukee8 Final · Home19 JulMiami1Milwaukee3 Final · Home18 JulMiami6Milwaukee8 Final · Home17 JulMiami1Milwaukee2 Final · Away12 JulPittsburgh14Milwaukee5 Final · Away11 JulPittsburgh3Milwaukee2 Final · Away11 JulPittsburgh7Milwaukee6 Final · Away9 JulSt. Louis4Milwaukee8 Final · Away8 JulSt. Louis5Milwaukee1 Final · Away7 JulSt. Louis2Milwaukee10 Final · Away7 JulSt. Louis3Milwaukee4 Final · Away6 JulSt. Louis3Milwaukee4 Final · Away5 JulArizona2Milwaukee3 Final · Away4 JulArizona4Milwaukee3 Final · Away3 JulArizona4Milwaukee7 Final · Home2 JulCincinnati7Milwaukee2 Final · Home1 JulCincinnati2Milwaukee4 Final · Home30 JunCincinnati2Milwaukee7 Final · Home29 JunCincinnati3Milwaukee5 Final · Home28 JunCubs4Milwaukee3 Final · Home27 JunCubs8Milwaukee2 Final · Home26 JunCubs2Milwaukee6 Final · Away24 JunCincinnati5Milwaukee6 Final · Away23 JunCincinnati0Milwaukee2 Final · Away22 JunCincinnati1Milwaukee2 Final · Away21 JunAtlanta4Milwaukee9 Final · Away20 JunAtlanta4Milwaukee3 Final · Away19 JunAtlanta3Milwaukee2 Final · Home18 JunCleveland4Milwaukee2 Final · Home17 JunCleveland4Milwaukee9 Final · Home16 JunCleveland1Milwaukee2 Final · Home14 JunPhiladelphia0Milwaukee4 Final · Home13 JunPhiladelphia9Milwaukee8 Final · Home12 JunPhiladelphia0Milwaukee6 Final · Away10 JunAthletics4Milwaukee3 Final · Away9 JunAthletics7Milwaukee5 Final · Away8 JunAthletics14Milwaukee15 Final · Away7 JunColorado4Milwaukee12 Final · Away6 JunColorado1Milwaukee7 Final · Away5 JunColorado7Milwaukee9 Final · Home4 JunSan Francisco12Milwaukee9 Final · Home3 JunSan Francisco1Milwaukee0 Final · Home2 JunSan Francisco3Milwaukee8 Final · Home1 JunSan Francisco2Milwaukee16 Final · Away31 MayHouston0Milwaukee2 Final · Away30 MayHouston9Milwaukee2 Final · Away29 MayHouston4Milwaukee5 Final · Home27 MaySt. Louis1Milwaukee2 Final · Home26 MaySt. Louis0Milwaukee6 Final · Home25 MaySt. Louis1Milwaukee5 Final · Home24 MayDodgers5Milwaukee1 Final · Home23 MayDodgers11Milwaukee3 Final · Home22 MayDodgers1Milwaukee5 Final · Away20 MayCubs0Milwaukee5 Final · Away19 MayCubs2Milwaukee5 Final · Away18 MayCubs3Milwaukee9 Final · Away17 MayMinnesota5Milwaukee4 Final · Away16 MayMinnesota1Milwaukee2 Final · Away15 MayMinnesota2Milwaukee3 Final · Home14 MaySan Diego1Milwaukee7 Final · Home13 MaySan Diego3Milwaukee1 Final · Home12 MaySan Diego4Milwaukee6 Final · Home10 MayYankees3Milwaukee4 Final · Home9 MayYankees3Milwaukee4 Final · Home8 MayYankees0Milwaukee6 Final · Away6 MaySt. Louis2Milwaukee6 Final · Away4 MaySt. Louis6Milwaukee3 Final · Away3 MayWashington3Milwaukee2 Final · Away2 MayWashington1Milwaukee4 Final · Away1 MayWashington1Milwaukee6 Final · Home30 AprArizona1Milwaukee13 Final · Home29 AprArizona6Milwaukee2 Final · Home28 AprArizona2Milwaukee13 Final · Home26 AprPittsburgh0Milwaukee5 Final · Home25 AprPittsburgh6Milwaukee3 Final · Home24 AprPittsburgh6Milwaukee0 Final · Away23 AprDetroit5Milwaukee4 Final · Away22 AprDetroit5Milwaukee2 Final · Away21 AprDetroit4Milwaukee12 Final · Away19 AprMiami5Milwaukee3 Final · Away18 AprMiami2Milwaukee5 Final · Away17 AprMiami5Milwaukee7 Final · Home16 AprToronto1Milwaukee2 Final · Home15 AprToronto1Milwaukee2 Final · Home14 AprToronto9Milwaukee7 Final · Home12 AprWashington8Milwaukee6 Final · Home11 AprWashington3Milwaukee1 Final · Home10 AprWashington7Milwaukee3 Final · Away8 AprBoston5Milwaukee0 Final · Away7 AprBoston3Milwaukee2 Final · Away6 AprBoston6Milwaukee8 Final · Away5 AprKansas City5Milwaukee8 Final · Away4 AprKansas City8Milwaukee2 Final · Away4 AprKansas City2Milwaukee5 Final · Home1 AprTampa Bay2Milwaukee8 Final · Home31 MarTampa Bay2Milwaukee6 Final · Home30 MarTampa Bay3Milwaukee2 Final · Home29 MarWhite Sox7Milwaukee9 Final · Home28 MarWhite Sox1Milwaukee6 Final · Home26 MarWhite Sox2Milwaukee14

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye86%

Milwaukee 95+ wins

Division Series

1MilwaukeeHomeWild Card Series winner4 Cubs or 5 Philadelphia

Alongside it: 2 Dodgers v Wild Card Series winner

77% of this route
- above DodgersDodgers under 100 wins (94%)
23% of this route
- below DodgersDodgers under 103 wins (91%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 13,212. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Dodgers	96	66
3	Atlanta	92	70
4	Cubs	95	67
5	Philadelphia	88	74
6	San Diego	85	77
-	Miami	84	78
-	St. Louis	82	80

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series4%

Milwaukee 92+ wins

Wild Card Series

3MilwaukeeHome6San Diego

Alongside it: 4 Cubs v 5 Philadelphia

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 772. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	98	64
2	Atlanta	96	66
3	Milwaukee	94	68
4	Cubs	92	70
5	Philadelphia	90	72
6	San Diego	90	72
-	Arizona	85	77
-	St. Louis	84	78

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series10%

Milwaukee 92+ wins

Wild Card Series

4MilwaukeeHome5Philadelphia

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,948. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	97	65
2	Cubs	96	66
3	Atlanta	90	72
4	Milwaukee	94	68
5	Philadelphia	90	72
6	San Diego	87	75
-	St. Louis	86	76
-	Pittsburgh	82	80

Wild Card berth, on the road1%

A possible long-shot route: 139 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Milwaukee 89+ wins

Miss the postseasonNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.