MLB · 2026

5th by playoff odds30 clubs

Cubs

2nd · 74-54

Playoffs99%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

31

Win the next 31 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Tue 8 Sep.

Next upFriday · Away10:10 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%Win → 9% · Loss → 5%Division

Last resultFinal · Home19 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0099% → 99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division10%

Bye9%

Pennant14%

World Series8%

2nd in the table · 5th by playoff odds.

NL Central finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Away10:10 PM EDTCubs99%PlayoffsSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%Win → 9% · Loss → 5%Division

Upcoming

Saturday · Away7:15 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%10% → 6% – 10%Division Sunday · Away4:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%10% → 6% – 10%Division Monday · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%10% → 7% – 10%Division

Full schedule34 to play

Friday · Away10:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%10% → 5% – 9%Division Saturday · Away7:15 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%10% → 6% – 10%Division Sunday · Away4:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 46%CHC 54%10% → 6% – 10%Division Monday · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%10% → 7% – 10%Division Tuesday · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%10% → 6% – 10%Division Wed 26 Aug · Away3:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 49%CHC 51%10% → 6% – 10%Division Fri 28 Aug · Home2:20 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%10% → 6% – 9%Division Sat 29 Aug · Home2:20 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%10% → 6% – 10%Division Sun 30 Aug · Home7:20 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 61%CIN 39%10% → 6% – 10%Division Mon 31 Aug · Home7:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%10% → 5% – 12%Division Tue 1 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%10% → 5% – 11%Division Wed 2 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%10% → 6% – 13%Division Thu 3 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 51%MIL 49%10% → 6% – 13%Division Fri 4 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 47%CHC 53%10% → 7% – 11%Division Sat 5 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 47%CHC 53%10% → 8% – 11%Division Sun 6 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 47%CHC 53%10% → 8% – 12%Division Mon 7 Sep · Away2:10 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%10% → 7% – 15%Division Tue 8 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%10% → 6% – 15%Division Wed 9 Sep · Away7:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIL 56%CHC 44%10% → 8% – 16%Division Fri 11 Sep · Home2:20 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 62%PIT 38%10% → 8% – 13%Division Sat 12 Sep · Home2:20 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 62%PIT 38%10% → 9% – 13%Division Sun 13 Sep · Home2:20 PM EDTPittsburgh1%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 62%PIT 38%10% → 8% – 13%Division Mon 14 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%10% → 9% – 13%Division Tue 15 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%10% → 8% – 12%Division Wed 16 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 56%ATL 44%10% → 8% – 12%Division Fri 18 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%10% → 8% – 12%Division Sat 19 Sep · Away6:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%10% → 8% – 13%Division Sun 20 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTCincinnati<1%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 46%CHC 54%10% → 9% – 13%Division Tue 22 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 60%MIA 40%10% → 10% – 13%Division Wed 23 Sep · Home7:40 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 60%MIA 40%10% → 10% – 14%Division Thu 24 Sep · Home2:20 PM EDTMiami4%PlayoffsMatch resultCHC 60%MIA 40%10% → 10% – 15%Division Fri 25 Sep · Away7:10 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 53%CHC 47%10% → 12% – 16%Division Sat 26 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 53%CHC 47%10% → 14% – 18%Division Sun 27 Sep · Away3:05 PM EDTBoston97%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 53%CHC 47%10% → 14% – 18%Division

History

Final · Home19 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home17 AugWhite Sox5Cubs±0798% → 98%Playoffs

All results128 played

Final · Home19 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home17 AugWhite Sox5Cubs±0798% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugSt. Louis11Cubs±0499% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugSt. Louis8Cubs±04>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home14 AugSt. Louis0Cubs±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugWashington7Cubs±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugWashington6Cubs±01299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugWashington6Cubs±0899% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away9 AugKansas City2Cubs±01099% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugKansas City6Cubs±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away7 AugKansas City4Cubs▼ -1699% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugToronto2Cubs±0398% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugDodgers6Cubs±0796% → 96%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugDodgers1Cubs±0594% → 94%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugDodgers5Cubs±01092% → 92%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugYankees2Cubs▲ +1194% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugYankees2Cubs±0594% → 94%Playoffs Final · Home31 JulYankees2Cubs▼ -2096% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away30 JulSt. Louis2Cubs▲ +2492% → 94%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulSt. Louis3Cubs±0295% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulSt. Louis2Cubs±01093% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulSt. Louis3Cubs▲ +1788% → 89%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulPittsburgh8Cubs±0792% → 92%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulPittsburgh0Cubs▲ +21187% → 89%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulPittsburgh2Cubs▲ +1382% → 83%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulDetroit5Cubs±0187% → 87%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulDetroit2Cubs±01182% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulDetroit8Cubs6 Final · Home19 JulMinnesota1Cubs10 Final · Home18 JulMinnesota2Cubs6 Final · Home17 JulMinnesota5Cubs2 Final · Away12 JulCincinnati4Cubs8 Final · Away11 JulCincinnati3Cubs5 Final · Away10 JulCincinnati4Cubs0 Final · Away9 JulBaltimore3Cubs2 Final · Away8 JulBaltimore7Cubs9 Final · Away7 JulBaltimore2Cubs5 Final · Home5 JulSt. Louis4Cubs6 Final · Home4 JulSt. Louis3Cubs0 Final · Home3 JulSt. Louis17Cubs1 Final · Home1 JulSan Diego3Cubs23 Final · Home30 JunSan Diego7Cubs9 Final · Home29 JunSan Diego2Cubs3 Final · Away28 JunMilwaukee3Cubs4 Final · Away27 JunMilwaukee2Cubs8 Final · Away26 JunMilwaukee6Cubs2 Final · Away25 JunMets3Cubs4 Final · Away24 JunMets5Cubs10 Final · Away24 JunMets3Cubs10 Final · Away23 JunMets6Cubs9 Final · Home20 JunToronto8Cubs6 Final · Home19 JunToronto2Cubs16 Final · Home17 JunColorado6Cubs8 Final · Home16 JunColorado5Cubs2 Final · Home15 JunColorado4Cubs5 Final · Away14 JunSan Francisco5Cubs1 Final · Away13 JunSan Francisco1Cubs6 Final · Away12 JunSan Francisco1Cubs5 Final · Away11 JunColorado3Cubs9 Final · Away10 JunColorado3Cubs2 Final · Away9 JunColorado7Cubs3 Final · Home7 JunSan Francisco2Cubs1 Final · Home6 JunSan Francisco2Cubs3 Final · Home5 JunSan Francisco18Cubs3 Final · Home4 JunAthletics6Cubs7 Final · Home3 JunAthletics5Cubs4 Final · Home2 JunAthletics2Cubs1 Final · Away31 MaySt. Louis5Cubs1 Final · Away30 MaySt. Louis1Cubs6 Final · Away29 MaySt. Louis6Cubs5 Final · Away28 MayPittsburgh2Cubs7 Final · Away27 MayPittsburgh4Cubs10 Final · Away26 MayPittsburgh12Cubs1 Final · Away25 MayPittsburgh2Cubs1 Final · Home24 MayHouston8Cubs5 Final · Home23 MayHouston3Cubs0 Final · Home22 MayHouston4Cubs2 Final · Home20 MayMilwaukee5Cubs0 Final · Home19 MayMilwaukee5Cubs2 Final · Home18 MayMilwaukee9Cubs3 Final · Away17 MayWhite Sox9Cubs8 Final · Away16 MayWhite Sox8Cubs3 Final · Away15 MayWhite Sox5Cubs10 Final · Away14 MayAtlanta0Cubs2 Final · Away13 MayAtlanta4Cubs1 Final · Away12 MayAtlanta5Cubs2 Final · Away10 MayTexas3Cubs0 Final · Away9 MayTexas6Cubs0 Final · Away8 MayTexas1Cubs7 Final · Home7 MayCincinnati3Cubs8 Final · Home6 MayCincinnati6Cubs7 Final · Home5 MayCincinnati2Cubs3 Final · Home4 MayCincinnati4Cubs5 Final · Home3 MayArizona4Cubs8 Final · Home2 MayArizona0Cubs2 Final · Home1 MayArizona5Cubs6 Final · Away29 AprSan Diego4Cubs5 Final · Away28 AprSan Diego3Cubs8 Final · Away27 AprSan Diego9Cubs7 Final · Away26 AprDodgers6Cubs0 Final · Away25 AprDodgers12Cubs4 Final · Away24 AprDodgers4Cubs6 Final · Home23 AprPhiladelphia7Cubs8 Final · Home22 AprPhiladelphia2Cubs7 Final · Home21 AprPhiladelphia4Cubs7 Final · Home20 AprPhiladelphia1Cubs5 Final · Home19 AprMets1Cubs2 Final · Home18 AprMets2Cubs4 Final · Home17 AprMets4Cubs12 Final · Away15 AprPhiladelphia2Cubs11 Final · Away14 AprPhiladelphia4Cubs10 Final · Away13 AprPhiladelphia13Cubs7 Final · Home12 AprPittsburgh6Cubs7 Final · Home11 AprPittsburgh4Cubs3 Final · Home10 AprPittsburgh2Cubs0 Final · Away8 AprTampa Bay2Cubs6 Final · Away7 AprTampa Bay2Cubs9 Final · Away6 AprTampa Bay6Cubs4 Final · Away5 AprCleveland6Cubs5 Final · Away5 AprCleveland0Cubs1 Final · Away3 AprCleveland4Cubs1 Final · Home1 AprAngels2Cubs6 Final · Home31 MarAngels2Cubs0 Final · Home30 MarAngels2Cubs7 Final · Home29 MarWashington6Cubs3 Final · Home28 MarWashington2Cubs10 Final · Home26 MarWashington10Cubs4

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye9%

Cubs 94+ wins

Division Series

2CubsHomeWild Card Series winner3 Atlanta or 6 San Diego

Alongside it: 1 Dodgers v Wild Card Series winner

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,834. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	98	64
2	Cubs	97	65
3	Atlanta	92	70
4	Milwaukee	94	68
5	Philadelphia	89	73
6	San Diego	87	75
-	Arizona	83	79
-	Mets	79	83

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series1%

Cubs 92+ wins

Wild Card Series

3CubsHome6Philadelphia

Alongside it: 4 Milwaukee v 5 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 253. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	99	63
2	Atlanta	96	66
3	Cubs	94	68
4	Milwaukee	92	70
5	San Diego	89	73
6	Philadelphia	88	74
-	Arizona	84	78
-	St. Louis	83	79

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series72%

Cubs 90+ wins

Wild Card Series

4CubsHome5Philadelphia

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 14,415. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Dodgers	94	68
3	Atlanta	94	68
4	Cubs	93	69
5	Philadelphia	91	71
6	San Diego	87	75
-	Arizona	86	76
-	Pittsburgh	82	80

Wild Card berth, on the road16%

Cubs 86+ wins

Wild Card Series

4PhiladelphiaHome5Cubs

Alongside it: 3 Milwaukee v 6 San Diego

52% of this route
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 95 wins (93%)
- above San DiegoSan Diego under 90 wins (96%)
32% of this route
- above PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 90 wins (93%)
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 94 wins (91%)
16% of this route
- below PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia under 94 wins (91%)
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 94 wins (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,690. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Atlanta	98	64
2	Dodgers	95	67
3	Milwaukee	92	70
4	Philadelphia	92	70
5	Cubs	89	73
6	San Diego	86	76
-	Arizona	86	76
-	Miami	84	78

Miss the postseason1%

Cubs under 89 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 269. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	99	63
2	Dodgers	93	69
3	Atlanta	90	72
4	Arizona	88	74
5	San Diego	88	74
6	Philadelphia	87	75
-	Cubs	86	76
-	St. Louis	86	76