MLB · 2026
7th by playoff odds30 clubs

Cubs

2nd · 88-73
Playoffs>99%

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

DivisionOut
ByeOut
Pennant5%
World Series2%

2nd in the table · 7th by playoff odds.

NL Central finish
1st2nd3rd4th5th
1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish
1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 5th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

History

All results162 played
Final · Away27 SepBoston2Cubs6Final · Away25 SepBoston2Cubs±00>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 SepBoston4Cubs±03>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home24 SepMiami1Cubs±02>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home23 SepMiami3Cubs±02>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 SepMiami8Cubs±02>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 SepCincinnati1Cubs±09>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away19 SepCincinnati2Cubs±05>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away18 SepCincinnati6Cubs±04>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 SepAtlanta4Cubs▲ +1899% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 SepAtlanta6Cubs▼ -1399% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 SepAtlanta3Cubs▲ +1798% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home13 SepPittsburgh4Cubs±0399% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 SepPittsburgh3Cubs▲ +2496% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home11 SepPittsburgh2Cubs▲ +31295% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 SepMilwaukee8Cubs▼ -3697% → 94%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 SepMilwaukee4Cubs±0398% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Away7 SepMilwaukee4Cubs±0399% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away6 SepMiami10Cubs▼ -13>99% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 SepMiami5Cubs±0699% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away4 SepMiami1Cubs▲ +1698% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home3 SepMilwaukee1Cubs▲ +2296% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 SepMilwaukee9Cubs±0598% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 SepMilwaukee9Cubs±0498% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 AugMilwaukee3Cubs±01796% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home30 AugCincinnati7Cubs±0598% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home29 AugCincinnati5Cubs±01795% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 AugCincinnati10Cubs±0897% → 97%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 AugArizona2Cubs±0099% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 AugArizona5Cubs±0499% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 AugArizona0Cubs±0797% → 97%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 AugSeattle2Cubs±01996% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 AugSeattle5Cubs▼ -2497% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away21 AugSeattle6Cubs±0598% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0099% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home18 AugWhite Sox3Cubs±0499% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 AugWhite Sox5Cubs±0798% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugSt. Louis11Cubs±0499% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugSt. Louis8Cubs±04>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home14 AugSt. Louis0Cubs±0399% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 AugWashington7Cubs±00>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away12 AugWashington6Cubs±01299% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away11 AugWashington6Cubs±0899% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 AugKansas City2Cubs±01099% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away8 AugKansas City6Cubs±0399% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away7 AugKansas City4Cubs▼ -1699% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home6 AugToronto2Cubs±0398% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home5 AugDodgers6Cubs±0796% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home4 AugDodgers1Cubs±0594% → 94%PlayoffsFinal · Home3 AugDodgers5Cubs±01092% → 92%PlayoffsFinal · Home2 AugYankees2Cubs▲ +1194% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugYankees2Cubs±0594% → 94%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulYankees2Cubs▼ -2096% → 94%PlayoffsFinal · Away30 JulSt. Louis2Cubs▲ +2492% → 94%PlayoffsFinal · Away29 JulSt. Louis3Cubs±0295% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away28 JulSt. Louis2Cubs±01093% → 93%PlayoffsFinal · Away27 JulSt. Louis3Cubs▲ +1788% → 89%PlayoffsFinal · Away26 JulPittsburgh8Cubs±0792% → 92%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulPittsburgh0Cubs▲ +21187% → 89%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 JulPittsburgh2Cubs▲ +1382% → 83%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulDetroit5Cubs±0187% → 87%PlayoffsFinal · Home21 JulDetroit2Cubs±01182% → 82%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 JulDetroit8Cubs6Final · Home19 JulMinnesota1Cubs10Final · Home18 JulMinnesota2Cubs6Final · Home17 JulMinnesota5Cubs2Final · Away12 JulCincinnati4Cubs8Final · Away11 JulCincinnati3Cubs5Final · Away10 JulCincinnati4Cubs0Final · Away9 JulBaltimore3Cubs2Final · Away8 JulBaltimore7Cubs9Final · Away7 JulBaltimore2Cubs5Final · Home5 JulSt. Louis4Cubs6Final · Home4 JulSt. Louis3Cubs0Final · Home3 JulSt. Louis17Cubs1Final · Home1 JulSan Diego3Cubs23Final · Home30 JunSan Diego7Cubs9Final · Home29 JunSan Diego2Cubs3Final · Away28 JunMilwaukee3Cubs4Final · Away27 JunMilwaukee2Cubs8Final · Away26 JunMilwaukee6Cubs2Final · Away25 JunMets3Cubs4Final · Away24 JunMets5Cubs10Final · Away24 JunMets3Cubs10Final · Away23 JunMets6Cubs9Final · Home20 JunToronto8Cubs6Final · Home19 JunToronto2Cubs16Final · Home17 JunColorado6Cubs8Final · Home16 JunColorado5Cubs2Final · Home15 JunColorado4Cubs5Final · Away14 JunSan Francisco5Cubs1Final · Away13 JunSan Francisco1Cubs6Final · Away12 JunSan Francisco1Cubs5Final · Away11 JunColorado3Cubs9Final · Away10 JunColorado3Cubs2Final · Away9 JunColorado7Cubs3Final · Home7 JunSan Francisco2Cubs1Final · Home6 JunSan Francisco2Cubs3Final · Home5 JunSan Francisco18Cubs3Final · Home4 JunAthletics6Cubs7Final · Home3 JunAthletics5Cubs4Final · Home2 JunAthletics2Cubs1Final · Away31 MaySt. Louis5Cubs1Final · Away30 MaySt. Louis1Cubs6Final · Away29 MaySt. Louis6Cubs5Final · Away28 MayPittsburgh2Cubs7Final · Away27 MayPittsburgh4Cubs10Final · Away26 MayPittsburgh12Cubs1Final · Away25 MayPittsburgh2Cubs1Final · Home24 MayHouston8Cubs5Final · Home23 MayHouston3Cubs0Final · Home22 MayHouston4Cubs2Final · Home20 MayMilwaukee5Cubs0Final · Home19 MayMilwaukee5Cubs2Final · Home18 MayMilwaukee9Cubs3Final · Away17 MayWhite Sox9Cubs8Final · Away16 MayWhite Sox8Cubs3Final · Away15 MayWhite Sox5Cubs10Final · Away14 MayAtlanta0Cubs2Final · Away13 MayAtlanta4Cubs1Final · Away12 MayAtlanta5Cubs2Final · Away10 MayTexas3Cubs0Final · Away9 MayTexas6Cubs0Final · Away8 MayTexas1Cubs7Final · Home7 MayCincinnati3Cubs8Final · Home6 MayCincinnati6Cubs7Final · Home5 MayCincinnati2Cubs3Final · Home4 MayCincinnati4Cubs5Final · Home3 MayArizona4Cubs8Final · Home2 MayArizona0Cubs2Final · Home1 MayArizona5Cubs6Final · Away29 AprSan Diego4Cubs5Final · Away28 AprSan Diego3Cubs8Final · Away27 AprSan Diego9Cubs7Final · Away26 AprDodgers6Cubs0Final · Away25 AprDodgers12Cubs4Final · Away24 AprDodgers4Cubs6Final · Home23 AprPhiladelphia7Cubs8Final · Home22 AprPhiladelphia2Cubs7Final · Home21 AprPhiladelphia4Cubs7Final · Home20 AprPhiladelphia1Cubs5Final · Home19 AprMets1Cubs2Final · Home18 AprMets2Cubs4Final · Home17 AprMets4Cubs12Final · Away15 AprPhiladelphia2Cubs11Final · Away14 AprPhiladelphia4Cubs10Final · Away13 AprPhiladelphia13Cubs7Final · Home12 AprPittsburgh6Cubs7Final · Home11 AprPittsburgh4Cubs3Final · Home10 AprPittsburgh2Cubs0Final · Away8 AprTampa Bay2Cubs6Final · Away7 AprTampa Bay2Cubs9Final · Away6 AprTampa Bay6Cubs4Final · Away5 AprCleveland6Cubs5Final · Away5 AprCleveland0Cubs1Final · Away3 AprCleveland4Cubs1Final · Home1 AprAngels2Cubs6Final · Home31 MarAngels2Cubs0Final · Home30 MarAngels2Cubs7Final · Home29 MarWashington6Cubs3Final · Home28 MarWashington2Cubs10Final · Home26 MarWashington10Cubs4

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-03-302026-09-27

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the road>99%

Cubs 88+ wins

Wild Card Series
4San DiegoHome5Cubs

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 Philadelphia

How the table finishedthe middle season
The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 20,000. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWL
1Milwaukee10359
2Dodgers9963
3Atlanta9567
4San Diego9072
5Cubs8874
6Philadelphia8874
-Arizona8775
-Pittsburgh8181
Miss the postseasonNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.