MLB · 2026
Seattle Mariners3rd AL West - .472 pct vFri 21 Aug, 10:10 PM EDT Chicago Cubs2nd NL Central - .578 pct
Match resultSeattle 46%Cubs 54%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 3% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 7 points in the Playoffs race.
Seattle Mariners
Playoffs21%
Division16%
Pennantseason odds2%
Byeseason odds3%
Chicago Cubs
Playoffs99%
Division10%
Pennantseason odds14%
World Seriesseason odds8%
Byeseason odds9%
Seattle winPlayoffsSeattle Mariners21%19%▼ -2
Cubs winPlayoffsSeattle Mariners21%12%▼ -9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5NL Central · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1MilwaukeeDivision90%78-49.614-2CubsDivision10%74-54.5784.53St. LouisDivision<1%65-63.50813.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
6MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-12SeattlePlayoffs21%60-67.4722.5The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
4CubsPlayoffs99%74-54.578+66San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.5231