MLB · 2026

Chicago Cubs 4-11Final Sun 16 Aug, 3:15 PM EDT St. Louis Cardinals

What was at stake

Where each result would have left them, race by race, forecast before kickoff.

If Cubs had wonDivisionChicago Cubs14%16%▲ +2PlayoffsChicago Cubs99%99%±0St. Louis Cardinals8%6%▼ -2
What happenedSt. Louis winDivisionChicago Cubs14%12%▼ -2PlayoffsChicago Cubs99%98%▼ -1St. Louis Cardinals8%10%▲ +2

What it changed

Their odds in each race at the nearest forecast each side of kickoff.

Chicago Cubs
Division14%15%▲ +1
Playoffs99%99%±0
St. Louis Cardinals
Playoffs8%8%±0

Today: DivisionCubs 2nd at 10%; St. Louis 3rd at <1%.