MLB · 2026

11th by playoff odds30 clubs

Philadelphia

2nd · 87-74

Playoffs80%

Next upSun 27 Sep · Home · Their biggest game left2:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia80%PlayoffsTampa BayClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultPHI 51%TB 49%Win → >99% · Loss → 55%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home27 SepTampa Bay3Philadelphia7

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

DivisionOut

ByeOut

Pennant5%

World Series3%

2nd in the table · 11th by playoff odds.

NL East finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 6th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sun 27 Sep · Home · Their biggest game left2:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia80%PlayoffsTampa BayClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultPHI 51%TB 49%Win → >99% · Loss → 55%Playoffs

History

Final · Home27 SepTampa Bay3Philadelphia7 Final · Home26 SepTampa Bay12Philadelphia▲ +4175% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home25 SepTampa Bay2Philadelphia▼ -6093% → 87%Playoffs

All results162 played

Final · Home27 SepTampa Bay3Philadelphia7 Final · Home26 SepTampa Bay12Philadelphia▲ +4175% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home25 SepTampa Bay2Philadelphia▼ -6093% → 87%Playoffs Final · Home24 SepMilwaukee5Philadelphia▼ -3198% → 95%Playoffs Final · Home23 SepMilwaukee4Philadelphia±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home22 SepMilwaukee4Philadelphia±0698% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away20 SepMets2Philadelphia±0798% → 98%Playoffs Final · Away19 SepMets10Philadelphia±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away18 SepMets6Philadelphia±0399% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away17 SepMets0Philadelphia▲ +1398% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away16 SepWashington0Philadelphia▲ +2395% → 97%Playoffs Final · Away15 SepWashington6Philadelphia▼ -3394% → 91%Playoffs Final · Away13 SepAtlanta4Philadelphia±0991% → 91%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepAtlanta12Philadelphia±0292% → 92%Playoffs Final · Away11 SepAtlanta6Philadelphia▼ -4597% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home10 SepHouston2Philadelphia▼ -1198% → 97%Playoffs Final · Home9 SepHouston7Philadelphia▲ +11197% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home8 SepHouston6Philadelphia▼ -1599% → 98%Playoffs Final · Home7 SepAtlanta0Philadelphia±0199% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home6 SepAtlanta5Philadelphia▼ -14>99% → 99%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepAtlanta2Philadelphia▲ +1499% → >99%Playoffs Final · Home4 SepAtlanta5Philadelphia±0299% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away2 SepArizona1Philadelphia±00>99% → >99%Playoffs Final · Away1 SepArizona1Philadelphia±0799% → 99%Playoffs Final · Away31 AugArizona1Philadelphia±0297% → 97%Playoffs Final · Away30 AugAngels2Philadelphia±0595% → 95%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugAngels2Philadelphia±0493% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away28 AugAngels3Philadelphia±0592% → 92%Playoffs Final · Away26 AugSeattle0Philadelphia±0688% → 88%Playoffs Final · Away25 AugSeattle4Philadelphia±0191% → 91%Playoffs Final · Away24 AugSeattle9Philadelphia±0292% → 92%Playoffs Final · Home23 AugSt. Louis4Philadelphia▲ +2691% → 93%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugSt. Louis3Philadelphia▲ +21287% → 89%Playoffs Final · Home21 AugSt. Louis6Philadelphia▲ +5783% → 88%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugMiami1Philadelphia▲ +4481% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugMiami4Philadelphia▲ +4675% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home17 AugMiami5Philadelphia▲ +10664% → 74%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugMinnesota5Philadelphia▼ -1762% → 61%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugMinnesota1Philadelphia±0955% → 55%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugMinnesota1Philadelphia▲ +7753% → 60%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugSt. Louis7Philadelphia±0160% → 60%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugSt. Louis2Philadelphia▲ +1066% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away10 AugSt. Louis5Philadelphia±0664% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugToronto6Philadelphia▲ +2762% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugToronto7Philadelphia▲ +2568% → 70%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugToronto5Philadelphia±0475% → 75%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugWashington3Philadelphia±0770% → 70%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugWashington10Philadelphia▼ -1478% → 77%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugWashington0Philadelphia±0571% → 71%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugWashington3Philadelphia±0668% → 68%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugBaltimore0Philadelphia±0863% → 63%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugBaltimore0Philadelphia▲ +1560% → 61%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulBaltimore6Philadelphia▼ -1469% → 68%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulMiami8Philadelphia▼ -8672% → 64%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulMiami1Philadelphia▼ -7079% → 72%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulMiami8Philadelphia±0782% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home26 JulYankees4Philadelphia▲ +41178% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulYankees3Philadelphia▼ -1183% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home24 JulYankees1Philadelphia▼ -1085% → 84%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulDodgers9Philadelphia▼ -3588% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulDodgers2Philadelphia±0191% → 91%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulDodgers7Philadelphia10 Final · Home19 JulMets6Philadelphia1 Final · Home18 JulMets1Philadelphia6 Final · Home16 JulMets4Philadelphia1 Final · Away12 JulDetroit0Philadelphia5 Final · Away11 JulDetroit2Philadelphia4 Final · Away10 JulDetroit10Philadelphia2 Final · Away9 JulCincinnati0Philadelphia1 Final · Away8 JulCincinnati11Philadelphia5 Final · Away7 JulCincinnati1Philadelphia4 Final · Away6 JulKansas City15Philadelphia1 Final · Away5 JulKansas City5Philadelphia2 Final · Away4 JulKansas City1Philadelphia6 Final · Home2 JulPittsburgh6Philadelphia1 Final · Home1 JulPittsburgh6Philadelphia10 Final · Home30 JunPittsburgh0Philadelphia8 Final · Home29 JunPittsburgh11Philadelphia7 Final · Away28 JunMets4Philadelphia5 Final · Away27 JunMets6Philadelphia2 Final · Away26 JunMets1Philadelphia2 Final · Away25 JunWashington5Philadelphia10 Final · Away24 JunWashington4Philadelphia5 Final · Away23 JunWashington9Philadelphia14 Final · Away22 JunWashington4Philadelphia1 Final · Home21 JunMets2Philadelphia6 Final · Home20 JunMets3Philadelphia15 Final · Home18 JunMets6Philadelphia4 Final · Home17 JunMiami12Philadelphia4 Final · Home16 JunMiami2Philadelphia8 Final · Home15 JunMiami0Philadelphia7 Final · Away14 JunMilwaukee4Philadelphia0 Final · Away13 JunMilwaukee8Philadelphia9 Final · Away12 JunMilwaukee6Philadelphia0 Final · Away10 JunToronto4Philadelphia7 Final · Away9 JunToronto3Philadelphia2 Final · Away8 JunToronto2Philadelphia5 Final · Home7 JunWhite Sox5Philadelphia9 Final · Home6 JunWhite Sox6Philadelphia3 Final · Home5 JunWhite Sox6Philadelphia8 Final · Home4 JunSan Diego4Philadelphia6 Final · Home3 JunSan Diego2Philadelphia3 Final · Home2 JunSan Diego2Philadelphia3 Final · Away31 MayDodgers9Philadelphia1 Final · Away30 MayDodgers3Philadelphia4 Final · Away29 MayDodgers4Philadelphia2 Final · Away27 MaySan Diego0Philadelphia3 Final · Away26 MaySan Diego3Philadelphia4 Final · Away25 MaySan Diego0Philadelphia3 Final · Home24 MayCleveland3Philadelphia1 Final · Home23 MayCleveland0Philadelphia3 Final · Home22 MayCleveland1Philadelphia0 Final · Home20 MayCincinnati9Philadelphia4 Final · Home19 MayCincinnati4Philadelphia1 Final · Home18 MayCincinnati4Philadelphia5 Final · Away17 MayPittsburgh0Philadelphia6 Final · Away16 MayPittsburgh0Philadelphia6 Final · Away15 MayPittsburgh9Philadelphia11 Final · Away14 MayBoston1Philadelphia3 Final · Away13 MayBoston3Philadelphia1 Final · Away12 MayBoston1Philadelphia2 Final · Home10 MayColorado0Philadelphia6 Final · Home9 MayColorado3Philadelphia9 Final · Home8 MayColorado9Philadelphia7 Final · Home7 MayAthletics12Philadelphia1 Final · Home6 MayAthletics3Philadelphia6 Final · Home5 MayAthletics1Philadelphia9 Final · Away4 MayMiami0Philadelphia1 Final · Away3 MayMiami2Philadelphia7 Final · Away2 MayMiami4Philadelphia0 Final · Away1 MayMiami5Philadelphia6 Final · Home30 AprSan Francisco5Philadelphia6 Final · Home30 AprSan Francisco2Philadelphia3 Final · Home28 AprSan Francisco0Philadelphia7 Final · Away26 AprAtlanta6Philadelphia2 Final · Away25 AprAtlanta5Philadelphia8 Final · Away24 AprAtlanta5Philadelphia3 Final · Away23 AprCubs8Philadelphia7 Final · Away22 AprCubs7Philadelphia2 Final · Away21 AprCubs7Philadelphia4 Final · Away20 AprCubs5Philadelphia1 Final · Home19 AprAtlanta4Philadelphia2 Final · Home18 AprAtlanta3Philadelphia1 Final · Home17 AprAtlanta9Philadelphia0 Final · Home15 AprCubs11Philadelphia2 Final · Home14 AprCubs10Philadelphia4 Final · Home13 AprCubs7Philadelphia13 Final · Home12 AprArizona4Philadelphia3 Final · Home11 AprArizona3Philadelphia4 Final · Home10 AprArizona5Philadelphia4 Final · Away8 AprSan Francisco5Philadelphia0 Final · Away7 AprSan Francisco6Philadelphia0 Final · Away6 AprSan Francisco4Philadelphia6 Final · Away5 AprColorado4Philadelphia1 Final · Away4 AprColorado1Philadelphia2 Final · Away3 AprColorado1Philadelphia10 Final · Home1 AprWashington5Philadelphia6 Final · Home31 MarWashington2Philadelphia3 Final · Home30 MarWashington13Philadelphia2 Final · Home29 MarTexas8Philadelphia3 Final · Home28 MarTexas5Philadelphia4 Final · Home26 MarTexas3Philadelphia5

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Win the division, host the Wild Card SeriesNo path

No path remains: mathematically eliminated from the sub-unit title.

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the road80%

Philadelphia 87+ wins

Wild Card Series

3AtlantaHome6Philadelphia

Alongside it: 4 San Diego v 5 Cubs

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,914. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	103	59
2	Dodgers	100	62
3	Atlanta	95	67
4	San Diego	91	71
5	Cubs	88	74
6	Philadelphia	88	74
-	Arizona	86	76
-	Pittsburgh	82	80

Miss the postseason20%

Philadelphia under 88 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,086. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	103	59
2	Dodgers	100	62
3	Atlanta	94	68
4	San Diego	90	72
5	Cubs	89	73
6	Arizona	87	75
-	Philadelphia	87	75
-	Pittsburgh	81	81