MLB · 2026
Philadelphia Phillies2nd NL East - .547 pct vThu 10 Sep, 1:05 PM EDT Houston Astros1st AL West - .500 pct
Match resultPhiladelphia 59%Houston 41%
What this game means
The two ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 5% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 10 points in the Playoffs race.
Philadelphia Phillies
Playoffs85%
Division21%
Pennantseason odds9%
World Seriesseason odds5%
Byeseason odds2%
Houston Astros
Playoffs66%
Division60%
Pennantseason odds10%
World Seriesseason odds3%
Byeseason odds20%
Philadelphia winPlayoffsPhiladelphia Phillies85%86%▲ +1Houston Astros66%66%±0
Houston winPlayoffsPhiladelphia Phillies85%80%▼ -5Houston Astros66%75%▲ +9
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AL West · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1HoustonDivision60%63-63.500-2TexasDivision24%62-64.49213SeattleDivision16%60-67.4723.5NL East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-LPCTGB
1AtlantaDivision79%74-53.583-2PhiladelphiaDivision21%70-58.5474.53MiamiDivision<1%64-64.50010.5The wild card · top 6 in the American League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5HoustonPlayoffs66%63-63.5006MinnesotaPlayoffs30%63-65.492-Playoff line
7TexasPlayoffs34%62-64.492-The wild card · top 6 in the National League qualify
PlayoffsW-LPCTWCGB
5PhiladelphiaPlayoffs85%70-58.547+26San DiegoPlayoffs65%68-60.531-Playoff line
7ArizonaPlayoffs39%67-61.5231